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Working paper 370
Gilles Duranton and Matthew A. Turner, "The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion: Evidence from US cities", 2009-09-08
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Abstract: Abstract: We investigate the relationship between interstate highways
and highway vehicle kilometers traveled (vkt) in us cities. We find that vkt increases proportionately to highways and identify three important sources for this extra vkt: an increase in driving by current residents; an increase in transportation intensive production activity; and an inflow of new residents. The provision of public transportation has no impact on vkt. We also estimate the aggregate city level demand for vkt and find it to be very elastic. We conclude that an increased provision of roads or public transit is unlikely to relieve congestion and that the current provision of roads exceeds the optimum given the absence of congestion pricing.

Keywords: highways, vehiclekilometers traveled, public transport, congestion.

JEL Classification: l91 ; r41

Last updated on July 12, 2012