Bayesian Econometric Workship
| A Bayesian Nonparametric Investigation of the Relationship between Commodity Prices and Exchange Rates | Abstract Paper |
| Xin Jin* |
| A New Multivariate Model with an Unknown Number of Change-points | Abstract Paper |
| John Maheu, Yong Song* |
| Assessing the Importance of Learning in an Empirical Monetary Model for the US | Abstract Paper |
| Eleonora Granziera* |
| Bayesian analysis of latent threshold dynamic models | Abstract Paper |
| Jouchi Nakajima*, Mike West |
| Bayesian Doubly Adaptive Elastic-Net Lasso For VAR Shrinkage | Abstract Paper |
| Deborah Gefang* |
| Bayesian estimation of probabilities of target rates using Fed Funds futures options | Abstract Paper |
| Mark Fisher* |
| Bayesian regression with nonparametric heteroskedasticity | Abstract Paper |
| Andriy Norets* |
| Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs | Abstract Paper |
| Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark*, Massimiliano Marcellino |
| Copula Based Factorization in Bayesian Multivariate Mixture Models | Abstract |
| Martin Burda*, Artem Prokhorov |
| DSGE Models and VARMA Representation | Abstract Paper |
| Alessia Paccagnini*, Raffaele Rossi |
| Estimating a semiparametric asymmetric stochastic volatility model with Dirichlet process mixture | Abstract Paper |
| Mark Justin Jensen*, John M Maheu |
| Estimation and Inference for Impulse Response Weights From Strongly Persistent Processes | Abstract Paper |
| Richard Baillie*, George Kapetanios |
| Fat-Tailed Wishart Autoregressive Processes for Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Jumps | Abstract Paper |
| Roberto Leon-Gonzalez* |
| Forecasting with several macro models | Abstract Paper |
| Gianni G Amisano*, John Geweke |
| Improving Bayesian VAR density forecasts through autoregressive Wishart Stochastic Volatility | Abstract Paper |
| Paul Karapanagiotidis* |
| Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs | Abstract Paper |
| Gary Koop*, Dimitris Korobilis |
| Marginal Likelihood for Markov-Switching and Change-Point Garch Models | Abstract Paper |
| Luc Bauwens, Arnaud Dufays*, Jeroen Rombouts |
| Massively Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Bayesian Inference | Abstract Paper |
| Garland Durham*, John Geweke |
| Model averaging and variable selection in VAR-models | Abstract Paper |
| Shutong Ding*, Sune Karlsson |
| Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast | Abstract Paper |
| Joshua Chan* |
| Multivariate Stochastic Volatility | Abstract Paper |
| William James McCausland*, Shirley Miller, Denis Pelletier |
| Multivariate Versus Multinomial Probit: When are Binary Decisions Made Separately also Jointly Optimal? | Abstract Paper |
| Dale J. Poirier*, Deven Kapadia |
| Particle filter estimation of duration-type models | Abstract Paper |
| Miguel A. G. Belmonte* |
| Propagation Mechanisms for Government Spending Shocks: A Bayesian Comparison | Abstract Paper |
| Anna Kormilitsina, Sarah Zubairy* |
| Rare Shocks, Great Recessions | Abstract Paper |
| Vasco Curdia, Marco Del Negro*, Daniel Greenwald |
| Specification tests for dynamic factor models | Abstract Paper |
| Gabriele Fiorentini*, Enrique Sentana |
| The Hessian method for models with leverage-like effects | Abstract Paper |
| Barnabe Djegnene*, William McCausland |
| The Multilevel First-Order Autoregressive Model: A Bayesian Look at Stability and Sensitivity | Abstract Paper |
| Joran Jongerling* |
| Time Varying SVARs, parameter histories, and the changing impact of oil prices on the US economy | Abstract Paper |
| Francesca Rondina* |
CLSRN
| Changes in Returns to Task-Specific Skills and Gender Wage Gap | Abstract Paper |
| Shintaro Yamaguchi* |
| Empirical Characteristics of Legal and Illegal Immigrants in the U.S. | Abstract Paper |
| Miana Plesca*, Vincenzo Caponi |
| Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) Status Amongst the Retired Population: An Analysis of the Incidence | Abstract Paper |
| David Gray*, Ross Finnie |
Education
| Behavioral Economics of Education: Some Puzzles, Progress, and Possibilities | Abstract Paper |
| Philip Oreopoulos* |
| Credit and Insurance for Human Capital Investments | Abstract Paper |
| Lance Lochner*, Alexander Monge-Naranjo |
| Determinants of student’s university choice | Abstract Paper |
| Marta Odendal* |
| Different Paths? Human Capital Prices, Wages and Inequality in Canada and the US | Abstract |
| Audra Bowlus, Chris Robinson* |
| Gender Ratios at the top PhD programs in Economics | Abstract Paper |
| Galina Hale*, Tali Regev |
| Inequality and City Size | Abstract Paper |
| Ronni Pavan*, Nathaniel Baum-Snow |
| Peer Effects in the Classroom: Evidence from New Peers in Ontario Schools | Abstract Paper |
| Margarita Pivovarova* |
| University Quality and the Labour Market Outcomes of Canadian Youth | Abstract Paper |
| Joniada Milla* |
Finance
| Cheap Money and Risk Taking: Opacity versus Fundamental Risk | Abstract Paper |
| Bernhard Eckwert* |
| Currency Order Flow and Macroeconomic Information | Abstract Paper |
| Pasquale Della Corte, Dagfinn Rime, Lucio Sarno, Ilias Tsiakas* |
| Optimal Captial Structure and Growth Options in Mergers and Acquisitions | Abstract Paper |
| Elettra Agliardi*, Amir Amel-Zadeh, Nicos Koussis |
| Responses to the Financial Crisis, Treasury Debt, and the Impact on Short-Term Money Markets | Abstract Paper |
| Warren B. Hrung, Jason Scott Seligman* |
General Papers
| Feeding the Creatures: Borrowing and the Hard budget constraint- Ontario Municipalities in the 1930s | Abstract Paper |
| Almos Thomas Tassonyi* |
| Production, Prices, Protection, and Productivity: Canadian Cotton Textiles in the 19th Century | Abstract Paper |
| Tom Barbiero, Michael Hinton* |
| Rethinking the Structure of Prudential Bank Regulation | Abstract Paper |
| Charles Calomiris* |
| The Importance of Transport Costs: Evidence from the Trans-Atlantic Iron Trade, 1870-1913. | Abstract Paper |
| Kris Inwood*, Ian Keay |
| What determines a Nice Auction Page? | Abstract Paper |
| Rafael Tenorio*, Gabriella Bucci |
Health
| Childhood Obesity, Parents' Knowledge and Report Cards | Abstract Paper |
| Heather Royer*, Silvia Prina |
| Fertility, child health, and the diffusion of electricity into the home | Abstract Paper |
| Joshua Lewis* |
| Influenza, the in-utero environment, and later developmental outcomes in children | Abstract Paper |
| Shelley Phipps, Courtney Ward* |
| Is There a Roemer’s Law for Physicians? Physician Numbers As a Driver of Provincial Government Health Spending | Abstract Paper |
| Livio Di Matteo* |
| Testing and estimating sibling interaction effects in obesity: An extension of the sibling difference framework | Abstract Paper |
| Angelo Melino*, Aloysius Siow |
| The Time-Varying Relationship Between Mortality and Business Cycles in the U.S. | Abstract Paper |
| Jean-Paul Lam*, Emmanuelle Piérard |
Labour
| Birth Cohort and the Black-White Achievement Gap: The Role of Health Soon After Birth | Abstract Paper |
| Kenneth Chay, Jon Guryan, Bhash Mazumder* |
| Duration Dependence and Local Labor Market Conditions: Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment | Abstract Paper |
| Kory Kroft*, Fabian Lange, Matthew Notowodigdo |
| Experience, Education, and Internal Labor Markets: Intra-Firm Dynamics of Career and Wage under the Skill-biased Development | Abstract Paper |
| Masaki Nakabayashi* |
| Household Risk and Insurance over the Life Cycle | Abstract Paper |
| Andres Erosa, Luisa Fuster, Gueorgui Kambourov* |
| Premium Copayments and the Trade-off between Wages and Employer-Provided Health Insurance | Abstract |
| Darren Lubotsky*, Craig Olson |
| Social Security, Endogenous Retirement, and Intrahousehold Cooperation | Abstract Paper |
| Giovanni Gallipoli, Laura Turner* |
| Team transfers as a mechanism to mitigate adverse selection in employee poaching | Abstract Paper |
| Brian R. L. Coulter* |
| Temporary Help Agencies and Job Market Sorting | Abstract Paper |
| Fraser Summerfield* |
| What Happened to the Middle Class in Urban China in the Last decade of the 20th Century and what were the determining factors? Results from Partial De nition of Class Membership | Abstract Paper |
| Gordon Anderson*, Grazia Pittau, Roberto Zelli |
Macroeconomics
| A Directed Search Model of Occupational Mobility | Abstract Paper |
| Hui Xiong* |
| Aggregate Fluctuations, Consumer Credit and Bankruptcy | Abstract Paper |
| David Eric Fieldhouse*, Igor Livshits, Jim MacGee |
| Central Bank Transparency: A Small Open Economy | Abstract Paper |
| Hyuk Jae Rhee, Nurlan Turdaliev* |
| Does Macro-Pru Leak? Evidence from a UK Policy Experiment | Abstract Paper |
| Shekhar Aiyar*, Charles Calomiris, Tomasz Wieladek |
| Inflation Targeting, Price-Level Targeting, the Zero Lower Bound, and Indeterminacy | Abstract Paper |
| Steven Ambler*, Jean-Paul Lam |
| Large Scale Asset Purchases: Impact on Commodity Prices and International Spillover Effects | Abstract Paper |
| Sharon Kozicki, Eric Santor*, Lena Suchanek |
| Population Density, Optimal Infrastructure and Economic Growth | Abstract Paper |
| Sumit Shrikant Deole* |
| Short-Run Regional Forecasts: Spatial Models through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions | Abstract Paper |
| Matías Mayor Fernández, Roberto Patuelli* |
| Sovereign Defaults and Interest Rate Spread in the Presence of Self Control Problem | Abstract |
| Li Li* |
| The business cycle human capital accumulation nexus and its effect on labor supply volatility | Abstract Paper |
| Diana Alessandrini*, Stephen Kosempel, Thanasis Stengos |
| The Disappearance of AAA Rated Firms | Abstract |
| James Grant Partridge* |
| The Effect of Inflation Targeting: A Mean-Reverting Mirage? | Abstract Paper |
| Petra Maria Geraats* |
| The influence of Introducing the Taylor rule on the exchange rate in Iran | Abstract Paper |
| Elham Gholami, Yeganeh Mousavi Jahromi* |
Open Economy Macro
| Cross-border Economic Activities, Human Capital and Efficiency: A Stochastic Frontier Analysis for OECD Countries | Abstract Paper |
| Sucharita Ghosh, Camilla Mastromarco* |
| International Risk Sharing in Emerging Economies | Abstract Paper |
| Carlos Yepez* |
| Monetary and Fiscal Policy in Oil Exporting Country: The Case of Russia | Abstract |
| Andrey Polbin*, Ekaterina Ponomareva, Andrey Zubarev |
| Stabilization Effects of the Euro Area Monetary Policy | Abstract Paper |
| Michael Owyang, Tatevik Sekhposyan* |
Public Economics
| Carbon Emissions and Stock Returns: Evidence from Germany | Abstract |
| Andreas Marcel Oestreich*, Ilias Tsiakas |
| Cash Versus In-kind Transfers, The Case of Bangladesh | Abstract Paper |
| Aganitpol Sivakul* |
| Do RESPs Increase Household Saving? | Abstract Paper |
| Dwayne Benjamin*, Michael Smart |
| Does Diversity Divide? Provision of Public Goods and Soviet Emigration to Israel | Abstract Paper |
| Alexander McQuoid* |
| E-Lections: Voting Behavior and the Internet | Abstract Paper |
| Oliver Falck, Robert Gold, Stephan Heblich* |
| Quantity competition vs. price competition under optimal subsidy in a mixed duopoly | Abstract Paper |
| Marcella Scrimitore* |
| Spending Within Limits: Theory & Evidence From Municipal Fiscal Restraints | Abstract Paper |
| Leah Brooks*, Yosh Halberstam |
| Tax evasion: Is this a government fight, or can anyone join? | Abstract Paper |
| Marcelo Arbex*, Enlinson Mattos |
| Trends in Top Income Shares in Canadian Cities | Abstract |
| Brian Murphy, Michael Veall* |
Trade
| Capacity Constrained Exporters: Micro Evidence and Macro Implications | Abstract Paper |
| JaeBin Ahn, Alexander McQuoid* |
| How to Stir Up FDI Spillovers? Evidence from a Large Meta-Analysis | Abstract Paper |
| Tomas Havranek*, Zuzana Irsova |
| Impact of Trade on Canada’s Employment, Skill and Wage Structure | Abstract |
| Ram C Acharya*, Ryan Kelly |
| Imposed efficiency of the Treaty Port: Japanese industrialization and Western imperialist institutions | Abstract Paper |
| Masaki Nakabayashi* |
| Quality and Scope in International Networks | Abstract Paper |
| Mengxiao Liu*, Nathan Nunn, Daniel Trefler |
| Quality Uncertainty and Intermediation in International Trade | Abstract Paper |
| Kunal Dasgupta, Jordi Mondria* |
| Roads and Trade: Evidence from the US | Abstract Paper |
| Gilles Duranton, Peter Morrow*, Matthew Turner |
| The Evolution of International Subsidy Rules | Abstract Paper |
| David R. DeRemer* |
| The Rise of the East and the Far East: German Labor Markets and Trade Integration | Abstract Paper |
| Wolfgang Dauth*, Sebastian Findeisen, Jens Suedekum |
| The Role of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in a Dualistic Growth Framework: An Application of Smooth Coefficient Semi-parametric Approach | Abstract Paper |
| Zeb Aurangzeb, Thanasis Stengos* |
| The Role of Manufacturing and Wholesale Aliates in Shaping the Geographic Organization of Multinational Firms: Theory and Evidence | Abstract Paper |
| Leo Karasik* |
| Transport costs and the trade diversion effect of natural resource discoveries | Abstract Paper |
| Roberto Bonfatti, Steven Poelhekke* |
| WTO Accession and Firm-level Productivity in Chinese Manufacturing | Abstract Paper |
| Loren Brandt*, Johannes Van Biesebroeck, Luhang Wang, Yifan Zhang |
Urban/Regional
| A Scale-Free Transportation Network Explains the City-Size Distribution | Abstract Paper |
| Marcus Berliant, Hiroki Watanabe* |
| Agglomeration Forces and Cluster Shapes | Abstract Paper |
| William Kerr*, Scott D Kominers |
| Agglomeration Premium and Trading Activity of Firms | Abstract Paper |
| Gábor Békés*, Péter Harasztosi |
| Bank Ownership, Lending, and Local Economic Performance During the 2008-2010 Financial Crisis | Abstract Paper |
| Nicholas Coleman, Leo Feler* |
| Breakdown of the market for developable land around a stochastic city with public goods | Abstract Paper |
| Coen Teulings, Wouter Vermeulen* |
| Cities in the Developing World | Abstract |
| Edward Glaeser* |
| Credit Standards and Segregation | Abstract Paper |
| Amine Ouazad*, Romain Ranciere |
| Crime, House Prices, and Inequality: The Effect of UPPs in Rio | Abstract Paper |
| Benjamin Mandel*, Claudio Frischtak |
| Downtown Parking and Traffic Congestion: A Diagrammatic Exposition | Abstract Paper |
| Richard Arnott, Eren Inci*, John Rowse |
| Estimating Neighborhood Choice Models: Lessons from the Moving To Opportunity Experiment | Abstract Paper |
| Sebastian Galiani, Alvin Murphy*, Juan Pantano |
| Good Firms, Worker Flows and Productivity in Local Labor Markets | Abstract Paper |
| Michel Serafinelli* |
| Industry Connections and the Geographic Location of Economic Activity | Abstract Paper |
| William Walker Hanlon* |
| Paging Inspector Sands: The Costs of Public Information | Abstract Paper |
| Sacha Kapoor, Arvind Nathan Magesan* |
| Private Gains from Public University Research: The Case of Productivity Spillovers from Agricultural Experiment Stations | Abstract Paper |
| Shawn Kantor, Alexander Whalley* |
| Small Businesses, Federal Loans, and Local Employment Growth | Abstract Paper |
| Yong Suk Lee* |
| Speed | Abstract Paper |
| Matthew Turner*, Gilles Duranton, Victor Couture |
| Store size, variety and welfare | Abstract Paper |
| Nicholas Li* |
| Suburbanization and Highway Improvements: Evidence from Spanish Cities | Abstract |
| Miquel-Angel Garcia-Lopez*, Adelheid Holl, Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal |
| The Agglomeration of R&D Labs | Abstract Paper |
| Gerald A Carlino*, Jake K Carr, Robert M Hunt, Tony Smith |
| The Costs of Agglomeration: Land Prices in French Cities | Abstract |
| Gilles Duranton* |
| The Role of Small Firms in Urban Economic Development in a Polycentric City | Abstract Paper |
| Steven G. Craig*, Janet E Kohlhase, Adam W Perdue |
| Travel demand, urban density and the benefits of urban diversity | Abstract |
| Victor Couture* |
| Would You Buy a Honda Made in the U.S.? The Impact of Production Location on Manufacturing Quality | Abstract Paper |
| Nicola Lacetera*, Justin Sydnor |
*Presenter of paper