PRICERV2.WPD 15 June 2000



UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO John H. Munro



ECO 2210Y - 453Y:



Topics in the Economic and Social History of Later Medieval and Renaissance Europe





Topic No. 22: The European 'Price Revolution' Era, c.1540 - c.1640: The Problems of Inflation and Economic Growth in Early Modern Europe





READINGS:



Within each section, all readings are listed in the chronological order of original publication (when that can be ascertained), except for collections of essays.



A. Some Textbook Surveys: Europe and England



Note that the chief failing of many of these surveys is inadequate or faulty economics.



1. Sir George Clark, The Wealth of England, 1496-1760 (London, 1946), chapter 2, 'England During the Price Revolution,' pp.41-56.  Surprisingly good, despite its age.



* 2. Peter Ramsey, Tudor Economic Problems (London, 1965, chapter 4, 'Prices and Social Change,' pp. 113-45.  Quite a good discussion of the forces for inflation, monetary and demographic, though still with some errors in both economics and economic history.



3. Frank C. Spooner, 'Secular Price Movements and Problems in Capital Formation,' in Deuxième conférence internationale d'histoire économique/Second International Conference of Economic History, Aix-en-Provence 1962, École pratique des hautes études - Sorbonne, Sixième Section: Sciences économiques et sociales, Congrès et Colloques, tome VIII (Mouton and Co: Paris-The Hague, 1965), pp. 127-40.



4. Ruggiero Romano, 'Mouvement des prix et développement économique: le cas de l'Amérique du Sud au XVIIIe siècle,' in Deuxième conférence internationale d'histoire économique/Second International Conference of Economic History, Aix-en-Provence 1962, École pratique des hautes études - Sorbonne, Sixième Section: Sciences économiques et sociales, Congrès et Colloques, tome VIII (Mouton and Co: Paris-The Hague, 1965), pp. 141-52.



* 3. Harry A. Miskimin, The Economy of Later Renaissance Europe, 1460-1600 (1969; 2nd edn. Cambridge, 1977), chapter 2, pp. 20-46. Fairly good, intelligently presented survey, if somewhat oversimplified.



4. L.A. Clarkson, The Pre-Industrial Economy in England, 1500-1750 (London, 1971): chapters 2 and 3.



** 5. Ralph Davis, The Rise of the Atlantic Economies (1973), chapter 6: 'The Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries: Population, Prices, and Incomes,' pp. 88-107. Excellent survey, if somewhat weak on economics.



6. Immanuel Wallerstein, The Modern World System:  Capitalist Agriculture and the Origins of the European World Economy in the Sixteenth Century (New York and London, 1974), chapter 2, pp. 66-131.



7. Walter Minchinton, 'Patterns and Structure of Demand, 1500-1750,' in C.M. Cipolla, ed., Fontana Economic History of Europe, Vol. II: Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries (London, 1974), pp. 83-176.



8. Hermann Kellenbenz, Rise of the European Economy: Economic History of Continental Europe, 1500-1750 (London, 1976), pp. 15-27, 190-4. Somewhat disappointing.



9. Jan De Vries, The Economy of Europe in an Age of Crisis, 1600-1750 (Cambridge, 1977), chapter 1, pp. 1-29.



** 10. Donald C. Coleman, The Economy of England, 1450-1750 (Oxford, 1977), chapter 2, 'Population and Prices, Mainly to 1650,' pp. 12-50.  Very good survey indeed.



* 11. Christopher Clay, Economic Expansion and Social Change: England, 1500 - 1700, 2 vols. (Cambridge, 1984), Vol. I: People, Land, and Towns, chapter 2, 'The Course of Prices,' pp. 28 - 51 (with tables). Quite comprehensive, very up to date, generally very good, if not always solid in economic theory (in not clearly distinguishing between changes in relative prices and changes in the price level: a failing of most historical studies on this debate).



12. Dennis O. Flynn, ed., World Silver and Monetary History in the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries (Aldershot: Variorum, 1996). Collected essays.







B. The Debate over the Price Revolution



1. George A. Moore, ed., The Response of Jean Bodin to the Paradoxes of Malestroit and The Paradoxes, translated from the French Second Edition, Paris 1578 ( Washington, D.C.: Country Dollar Press, 1946). The historic origins of the debate. (1)



2. Georg Wiebe, Zur Geschichte der Preisrevolution des XVI. und XVII. Jahrhunderts (Leipzig, 1895). The classic exposition of the monetary thesis, providing the origins of the modern debate.



* 3. Earl Hamilton, 'American Treasure and Andalusian Prices, 1503-1660: A Study in the Spanish Price Revolution,' Journal of Economic and Business History, 1 (1928), reprinted in P.H. Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England (London, 1971), pp. 147-81. The study that sparked the modern debate, though his monetary ideas were obviously not original.



* 4. Earl J. Hamilton, 'American Treasure and the Rise of Capitalism, 1500-1700,' Economica, 27 (Nov. 1929), 338-57.



5. Earl Hamilton, 'Imports of American Gold and Silver into Spain, 1503-1660,' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 43 (1929): 436-72.



6. Earl Hamilton, American Treasure and the Price Revolution in Spain, 1501-1650 (Cambridge, Mass., 1934; reissued 1965). See especially Chapter XII: 'Wages: Money and Real,' pp. 262-82; and Chapter XIII: 'Why Prices Rose,' pp. 283-308. See also the Appendices (pp. 309-403), with statistical tables on prices and wages.



7. Moritz John Elsas, 'Price Data from Munich, 1500 - 1700,' Economic History: supplement to The Economic Journal, 3 (Februry 1935), 63 - 78. Evidently the first to argue for a demographic explanation of the Price Revolution.



8. Earl Hamilton, Money, Prices, and Wages in Valencia, Aragon, and Navarre, 1351 - 1500 (Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1936).



* 9. Carlo M. Cipolla, 'La prétendue 'revolution des prix': Réflexions sur l'experience italienne,' Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 10 (1955), 513-16. Reprinted in Peter Burke, ed., Economy and Society in Early Modern Europe: Essays from Annales (London, 1972), pp. 43-46. One of the earliest attacks on Hamilton's Price-Revolution thesis.



10. Ingrid Hammarstrom, 'The Price Revolution of the Sixteenth Century:  Some Swedish Evidence,' The Scandinavian Economic History Review, 5 (1957). Reprinted in Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England, Debates in Economic History series (London, 1971), pp. 42-58. Another assault on Hamilton, with faulty economics and faulty historical data.



11. Y.S. Brenner, 'The Inflation of Prices in Early Sixteenth-Century England,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 14 (1961-62). Reprinted in Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England, Debates in Economic History series (London, 1971), pp. 69-90. Similarly attacks Hamilton.



12. Y.S. Brenner, 'The Inflation of Prices in England, 1551-1650,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 15 (1962-3), 266-84.



13. J.D. Gould, 'The Price Revolution Reconsidered,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 17 (1964-65). Reprinted in Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England, Debates in Economic History series (London, 1971), pp. 91-116.



14. F.P. Braudel and F. Spooner, 'Prices in Europe from 1450 to 1750,' in E. E. Rich, ed., Cambridge Economic History of Europe, Vol. IV: The Economy of Expanding Europe in the 16th and 17th Centuries (1967), pp. 374-486.  Only for the more courageous:  very long, often opaque and certainly difficult for novices in this field. To be skim-read.



** 15. R.B. Outhwaite, Inflation in Tudor and Early Stuart England, Studies in Economic and Social History Series, (1969; 2nd edn., London, 1982).  Very compact in 60 pages; and very thorough -- though it may require a second reading to become clear.  Do not, however, accept everything he says uncritically, especially because of some weaknesses in economics. The second edition does not adequately reflect the scholarship published since his first editon.



16. Frederic Mauro, Le XVIe siècle européen: aspects économiques, Nouvelle Clio no. 32 (Paris, 1970).  It would be desirable but quite impractical to read the whole book.  For those who read French well, Part II: chapter 2, 'La demande' and chapter 3, 'Les jeux de l'offre et de la demande,' pp. 156-264.



* 17. Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England, Debates in Economic History series (London, 1971).



(a) Peter Ramsey, 'Introduction,' pp. 1-18.



(b) E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila Hopkins, 'Seven Centuries of the Prices of Consumables Compared with Builders' Wage Rates,' pp. 18-41. Reprinted from Economica, 23 (November 1956).



(c) Ingrid Hammarstrom, 'The Price Revolution of the Sixteenth Century:  Some Swedish Evidence,' pp. 42-68. Reprinted (with some omissions) from The Scandinavian Economic History Review, 5 (1957).



(d) Y.S. Brenner, 'The Inflation of Prices in Early Sixteenth- Century England,' pp. 69-90. Reprinted from Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 14 (1961-62).



* (e) J.D. Gould, 'The Price Revolution Reconsidered,' pp. 91-116. Reprinted from Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 17 (1964-65).



(f) C.E. Challis, 'The Circulating Medium and the Movement of Prices in Mid-Tudor England,' pp. 117-46. [Original publication.]



* (g) Earl J. Hamilton, 'American Treasure and Andalusian Prices, 1503-1660: A Study in the Spanish Price Revolution,' pp. 147-81.  One of the original studies in this debate, The Journal of Economic and Business History, 1 (Nov. 1928).



Again, do not accept everything in this collection uncritically; and read carefully the review of this book in the following:



Donald McCloskey, 'Review of Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution,' in The Journal of Political Economy, 80 (1972), 1332-35.



* 18. Peter Burke, ed., Economy and Society in Early-Modern Europe: Essays from Annales (London, 1972):



(a) Carlo Cipolla, 'The So-Called 'Price Revolution': Reflections on `the Italian Situation,' pp. 43 -46. Reprinted in translation from Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 10 (1955).



(b) Alexandre Chabert, 'More About the Sixteenth-Century Price Revolution,' pp. 47 - 54. Reprinted in translation from Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 12 (1957).



(c) Charles Verlinden, J. Craeybecks, E. Scholliers, 'Price and Wage Movements in the Sixteenth Century,' pp. 55 - 84. Reprinted in translation from Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 10 (1955).



(d) Stanislas Hoszowski, 'Central Europe and the Sixteenth- and Seventeenth-Century Price Revolution,' pp. 85 - 1093. Reprinted in translation from Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 16 (1961).



N.B. The same warning applies to this collection as to the Ramsey collection (1971).



19. F.P. Braudel, The Mediterranean and the Mediterranean World in the Age of Philip II, Vol. I (London, 1972), pp. 462-542.



* 20. Christopher Challis, 'Spanish Bullion and Monetary Inflation in England in the Later Sixteenth Century,' Journal of European Economic History, 4 (1975), 381-92.



21. Robert Doughty, 'Industrial Prices and Inflation in Southern England 1401-1640,' Explorations in Economic History, 12 (1975), 177-92.



22. Denis Richet, 'Causes of Inflation in France in the XVIth Century: Problems of Measurement and Interpretation,' Journal of European Economic History, 4:3 (Winter 1975), 707-16.



* 23. Harry Miskimin, 'Population Growth and the Price Revolution in England,' Journal of European Economic History, 4 (1975), 179-85. Reprinted in his Cash, Credit and Crisis in Europe, 1300 - 1600 (London: Variorum Reprints, 1989), no. xiv. [This issue of the journal is now missing; but Xeroxed copies of the article are placed in the Sidney Smith Lending Library and the Sigmund Samuel Library.]



* 24. Dennis O. Flynn, 'A New Perspective on the Spanish Price Revolution: The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments,' Explorations in Economic History, 15 (1978), 388-406.  An interesting and novel approach, using modern monetary economics.



* 25. Jack A. Goldstone, 'Urbanization and Inflation: Lessons from the English Price Revolution of the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries,' American Journal of Sociology, 89 (1984), 1122 - 60. An important new dimension on the Price Revolution, with interesting views on urbanization and changes in the transactions velocity of money.



* 26. Peter Lindert, 'English Population, Wages, and Prices: 1541 - 1913,' The Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 15:4 (Spring 1985), 609 - 34. Also an important article, relating demographic and monetary changes, influenced by Goldstone (1984).



* 27. Michael D. Bordo, 'Explorations in Monetary History: A Survey of the Literature,' Explorations in Economic History, 23 (1986), 339-415. On the Price Revolution: see pp. 373-74, with comments on Lindert and Goldstone.



** 28. Douglas Fisher, 'The Price Revolution: A Monetary Interpretation,' Journal of Economic History, 49 (December 1989), 883 - 902.



29. Charles P. Kindleberger, Spenders and Hoarders: The World Distribution of Spanish American Silver, 1550 - 1750 (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1989).



30. Kerry W. Doherty and Dennis O. Flynn, 'A Microeconomic Quantity Theory of Money and the Price Revolution,' in Eddy Van Cauwenberghe, ed., Precious Metals, Coinage and the Changes of Monetary Structures in Latin-America, Europe and Asia (Late Middle Ages - Early Modern Times) (Leuven: Leuven University Press, 1989), pp. 185 - 208.



31. Renate Pieper, 'The Volume of African and American Exports of Precious Metals and its Effects in Europe, 1500 - 1800,' in Hans Pohl, ed., The European Discovery of the World and its Economic Effects on Pre-Industrial Society, 1500 - 1800: Papers of the Tenth Interntional Economic History Congress (Stuttgart: Franz Steiner Verlag, 1990), pp. 97 - 121.



32. Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, Jean-Noël Barrandon, Bruno Collin, Maria Guerra, Cécile Morrisson, 'Sur les traces de l'argent du Potosi,' Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 45:2 (mars-avril 1990), 483 - 505.



33. Jack A. Goldstone, 'The Causes of Long Waves in Early Modern Economic History,' in Joel Mokyr, ed., The Vital One: Essays in Honor of Jonathan R. T. Hughes (Research in Economic History, Supplement no. 6, Greenwich, Conn., 1991), pp. 51 - 92.



* 34. Jack A. Goldstone, 'Monetary Versus Velocity Interpretations of the 'Price Revolution': A Comment,' Journal of Economic History, 51 (March 1991), 176 - 81. An important question to consider: is Velocity a monetary or real variable?



* 35. John Munro, 'The Central European Mining Boom, Mint Outputs, and Prices in the Low Countries and England, 1450 - 1550,' in Eddy H.G. Van Cauwenberghe, ed., Money, Coins, and Commerce: Essays in the Monetary History of Asia and Europe (From Antiquity to Modern Times) (Leuven: Leuven University Press, 1991), pp. 119-83. On the South-German monetary origins of the Price Revolution. See also Nef (1941, and 1952) in section C, following.



36. Renate Pieper, 'American Silver Production and West European Money Supply in the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Century,' in José Casas Pardo, ed., Economic Effects of the European Expansion, 1492 - 1824, Beiträge zur Wirtschafts-und Sozialgeschichte Band 51 (Stuttgart: Franz Steiner Verlag, 1992), pp. 77-98.



* 37. John H. Munro, 'Patterns of Trade, Money, and Credit,' in Thomas A. Brady, jr., Heiko O. Oberman, and James D. Tracy, eds., Handbook of European History, 1400-1600: Late Middle Ages, Renaissance and Reformation, Vol. I: Structures and Assertions (Leiden/New York/Cologne: E.J. Brill, 1994), pp. 170-79.



** 38. Nicholas J. Mayhew, 'Population, Money Supply, and the Velocity of Circulation in England, 1300 - 1700,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 48:2 (May 1995), 238-57.



39. Harry A. Miskimin, 'Silver, not Sterling: A Comment on Mayhew's Velocity,' and N.J. Mayhew, 'Silver, Not Sterling: A Reply to Prof. Miskimin,' The Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 49:2 (May 1996), 358-61.



40. David Hackett Fischer, The Great Wave: Price Revolutions and the Rhythm of History (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 1996). Warning: written by an historian, whose knowledge of economics is both very limited and faulty. Not to be trusted for its economic analyses. Very controversial book. See my review of this book on the web, at: EH.Net Review <ehreview@eh.net>, 24 February 1999.



41. S.M.H. Bozorgnia, The Role of Precious Metals in European Economic Development: From Roman Times to the Eve of the Industrial Revolution, Contributions in Economics and Economic History no. 192 (Wesport, Conn. and London: Greenwood Press, 1998). A very badly researched and badly written book that must be rejected. See my review of this book in Journal of Economic History, 59:4 (Dec. 1999).



42. John Munro, 'Precious Metals and the Origins of the Price Revolution Reconsidered: The Conjuncture of Monetary and Real Forces in the European Inflation of the Early to Mid-Sixteenth Century,' in Clara Eugenia Núñez, ed., Monetary History in Global Perspective, 1500 - 1808, Proceedings of the Twelfth International Economic History Congress at Madrid, August 1998 (Seville, 1998), pp. 35-50.





N.B. The most interesting development in monetary theory concerning the nature of inflation during the 'Price Revolution' has been the application of the monetary approach to the balance of payments, which you can find especially in Flynn (1978) and Fisher (1989) above. For the economic theory involved, you should consult the following studies:



(1) Jacob A. Frenkel and Harry G. Johnson, eds., The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 1976):



a) Jacob Frenkel and Harry Johnson, 'The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments: Essential Concepts and Historical Origins,' pp. 21-45.



b) Harry Johnson, 'Towards a General Theory of the Balance of Payments,' pp. 46-63.



c) Harry Johnson, 'The Monetary Approach to Balance-of-Payments Theory,' pp. 147-67.



d) Harry Johnson, 'The Monetary Theory of Balance-of-Payments Policies,' pp. 262-86.



e) Donald N. McCloskey and J. Richard Zecher, 'How the Gold Standard Worked, 1880-1913,' pp. 357-85.



(2) John E. Floyd, World Monetary Equilibrium: International Monetary Theory in an Historical-Institutional Context (University of Pennsylvania Press, 1985), especially chapters 4 and 5.







C. Specialized Studies on Mining for Precious Metals:



* 2. John Nef, 'Silver Production in Central Europe, 1450-1618,' Journal of Political Economy, 49 (1941), 575-91.



* 3. John Nef, 'Mining and Metallurgy,' in M.M. Poston, ed., Cambridge Economic History, Vol. II: Trade and Industry in the Middle Ages (Cambridge, 1952), pp. 456-93. Reprinted without changes, in the 2nd revised edn. of The Cambridge Economic History of Europe, Vol. II, edited by M.M. Postan and Edward Miller (Cambridge, 1987), pp. 691-761, especially pp. 721-46. Very important for the Central European silver mining boom of ca. 1460 - ca. 1530. See also Nef (1941) above.



4. Josef Vlachovic, 'Slovak Copper Boom in World Markets of the Sixteenth and in the First Quarter of the Seventeenth Centuries,' Studia historica slovaca, 1 (1963), 63-95.



5. Alan Probert, 'Bartolomé de Medina: the Patio Process and the Sixteenth-Century Silver Crisis,' Journal of the West, 8:1 (1969), 90- 124' reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



6. D.A. Brading, 'Mexican Silver Mining in the Eighteenth Century: the Revival of Zacatecas,' Hispanic American Historical Review, 50:4 (1970), 665-81; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



7. Peter Bakewell, Silver Mining and Society in Colonial Mexico: Zacatecas, 1546 - 1700 (Cambridge, 1971).



8. Ekkehard Westermann, Das Eislebener Garkupfer und seine Bedeutung für den europäischen Kupfermarkt, 1460-1560 (Vienna: Böhlau Verlag, 1971).



9. Ekkehard Westermann, 'Die Bedeutung des Thüringer Saigerhandels für den mitteleuropäischen Handel an der Wende vom 15. zum 16. Jahrhundert,' Jahrbuch für die Geschichte Mittel- und Ostdeutschlands, 21 (1972), 68-92. [Ed. by Wilhelm Berges, Hans Herzfeld, and Henryk Skrzypczak].



10. D.A. Brading and Harry E. Cross, 'Colonial Silver Mining: Mexico and Peru,' and 'Estimated Minimum Spanish-American Bullion Production, 1571-1700,' Hispanic American Historical Review, 52 (1972), 545-79.



11. P.J. Bakewell, Silver Mining and Society in Colonial Mexico: Zacatecas, 1546-1700 (Cambridge, 1972).



12. Adolf Laube, Studien über den erzbirgischen Silberbergbau von 1470 - 1546 (Leipzig, 1974).



13. Peter John Bakewell, 'Registered Silver Production in the Potosi District, 1550 - 1735,' Jahrbuch für Geschichte von Staat, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft Lateinamerikas, 12 (1975), 67-103.



14. John Fisher, 'Silver Production in the Viceroyalty of Peru, 1776-1824,' Hispanic American Historical Review, 55:1 (1975), 25-43; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



15. Ian Blanchard, 'English Lead and the International Bullion Crisis of the 1550s,' in Donald Coleman and A. H. John, eds., Trade, Government, and Economy in Pre-Industrial England: Essays Presented to F. F. Fisher (London, 1976), pp. 21-44.



16. Peter Bakewell, 'Technological Change in Potosi: The Silver Boom of the 1570's,' in Richard Konetzke and Hermann Kellenbenz, et al., Jahrbuch für Geschichte von Staat, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft Lateinamerikas, 14 (1977), 57-77; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



17. Hermann Kellenbenz, 'Europäisches Kupfer, Ende 15. bis Mitte 17. Jahrhundert: Ergebenisse eines Kolloquiums,' in Hermann Kellenbenz, ed., Schwerpunkte der Kupferproduktion und des Kuppferhandels in Europa 1500-1650 (Cologne: Böhlau Verlag, 1977), pp. 290-351.



18. Peter Bakewell, 'Notes on the Mexican Silver Mining Industry in the 1590s,' Humanitas: Annuario del Centre de Estudios Humanisticos, 19 (1978), 383-409; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



19. Richard L. Garner, 'Silver Production and Entrepreneurial Structure in 18th-Century Mexico,' Jahrbuch für Geschichte von Staat, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft Lateinamerikas, 17 (1980), 157-85.



20. Hermann Kellenbenz, ed., Precious Metals in the Age of Expansion: Papers of the XIVth International Congress of Historical Sciences (Stuttgart, 1981).  See especially:



(a) Adon and Jeanne P. Gordus, 'Potosi Silver and the Coinage of Early Modern Europe,' pp. 225-41. Their views have been revised in Gordus (1988).



(b) Hermann Kellenbenz, 'Final Remarks: Production and Trade of Gold, Silver, Copper, and Lead, from 1450 to 1750,' pp. 307-61.



(c) Adam Szaszdi, 'Preliminary Estimates of Gold and Silver Production in America,' pp. 151-223.



(d) Herman Van der Wee, 'World Production and Trade in Gold, Silver, and Copper in the Low Countries, 1450-1700,' pp. 



(e) Ian Blanchard, 'England and the International Bullion Crisis of the 1550s,' pp.



(f) Ekkehard Westermann, 'Tendencies in the European Copper Market in the 15th and 16th Centuries,' pp. 79-86.





21. Enrique Tandeter, 'Forced and Free Labour in Late Colonial Potosi,' Past and Present, no. 93 (1981), pp. 98-136; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



22. Dennis Flynn, 'Sixteenth Century Inflation From a Production Point of View,' in E. Marcus and N. Smukler, eds., Inflation Through the Ages: Economic, Social, Psychological, and Historical Aspects (New York, 1983), pp. 157 - 69.



23. Philippe Braunstein, 'Innovations in Mining and Metal Production in the Late Middle Ages,' Journal of European Economic History, 12 (1983), 573 - 91.



24. John F. Richards, ed., Precious Metals in the Medieval and Early Modern Worlds (Durham, N.C., 1983).  See especially:



(a) Harry A. Miskimin, 'Money and Money Movements in France and England at the End of the Middle Ages,' pp. 79-96.



(b) John Munro, 'Bullion Flows and Monetary Contraction in Late-Medieval England and the Low Countries,' pp. 97-158.



(c) Philip D. Curtin, 'Africa and the Wider Monetary World, 1250 - 1850,' pp. 231-68.



* (d) Harry E. Cross, 'South American Bullion Production and Export, 1550-1750,' pp. 397-424.



25. G. A. Aizen and J. Daniel, 'Natural Economies or Monetary Economies? Silver Production and Monetary Circulation in Spanish America (Late XVIth - Early XVIIth Centuries),' The Journal of European Economic History, 13 (Spring 1984), 99 - 115.



26. A.J. Russell-Wood, 'Colonial Brazil: The Gold Cycle, c. 1690-1750,' in Leslie Bethell, ed., The Cambridge History of Latin America, Vol. II: Colonial Latin America (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1984), pp. 547-600; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



27. Peter Bakewell, 'Mining in Colonial Spanish America,' in Leslie Bethell, ed., The Cambridge History of Latin America, Vol. II: Colonial Latin America (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1984), 105-51; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



28. Marie-Thérèse Boyer-Xambeu, Ghislain Deleplace, and Lucien Gillard, 'Métaux d'Amérique et monnaies d'Europe,' Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 43 (July-August 1988), 959 - 67.



29. A.A. and J.P. Gordus, 'Identification of Potosi Silver Usage in 16th and 17th-century Coinage through the Gold-Impurity Content of Coins,' in William Bischoff, ed., The Coinage of the Vice Royalty of Peru and Its Successor States, The American Numismatic Society (New York, 1988).



30. Ekkehard Westermann, 'Zur Silber- und Kupferproduktion Mitteleuropas vom 15. bis zum frühen 17. Jahrhundert,' Der Anschnitt: Zeitschrift für Kunst und Kulture im Bergbau, 38:5-6 (1986), 187-211.



31. John Coatsworth, 'The Mexican Mining Industry in the Eighteenth Century,' in Nils Jacobsen and Hans-Jürgen Puhle, eds., The Economies of Mexico and Peru during the Late Colonial Period, 1760 - 1810 (Berlin 1986), pp. 26-45; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



32. Ann Zulawski, 'Wages, Ore Sharing, and Peasant Agriculture: Labour in Oruro's Silver Mines, 1607-1720,' Hispanic American Historical Review, 67:3 (1987), 405-30; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



33. Richard L. Garner, 'Long-Term Silver Mining Trends in Spanish America: A Comparative Analysis of Peru and Mexico,' American Historical Review, 67:3 (1987), 405-30; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



* 34. Renate Pieper, 'American Silver Production and West European Money Supply in the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Century,' in José Casas Pardo, ed., Economic Effects of the European Expansion, 1492 - 1824, Beiträge zur Wirtschafts-und Sozialgeschichte Band 51 (Stuttgart: Franz Steiner Verlag, 1992), pp. 77-98.

35. Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, Jean-Noel Barrandon, Bruno Collin, Maria Guerra, Cécile Morrisson, 'Sur les traces de l'argent du Potosi,' Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 45:2 (mars-avril 1990), 483 - 505.



36. Renate Pieper, 'The Volume of African and American Exports of Precious Metals and its Effects in Europe, 1500-1800,' in Hans Pohl, ed., The European Discovery of the World and its Economic Effects on Pre-Industrial Society, Papers of the Tenth International Economic History Congress (Stuttgart: Franz Steiner Verlag, 1990), pp. 97-117.



37. Ekkehard Westermann, 'Die Unternehmungsform der Saigerhandelsgesellschaft und ihre Bedeutung für den oberdeutschen Frühkapitalismus: Forschungs-stand und - aufgeben,' in Simonetta Cavaciocchi, ed., L'impresa industria, commercio, banca seccoli XIII - XVIII, Istituto internazionale di storia economic 'F. Datini' Prato, series II, Atti delle 'Settimane di Studi' e altri Convegni 22 (Prato, 1991), pp. 577-86.



38. Ekkehard Westermann, 'Über Wirkungen des europäischen Ausgriffs nach Übersee auf den europäischen Silber- und Kupfermarkt des 16. Jahrhunderts,' in Armin Reese, ed., Columbus: Tradition und Neuerung, Beiträge aus dem Fachbererich IV: Sozialwissenschaften der Pädagogischen Hochschule Heidelberg, vol. 5 (Idstein: Schulz-Kirchner Verlag, 1992), pp. 52-69.



39. Ekkehard Westermann, 'The Brass-works of the Höchstetter at Pflach near Reutte in the Tirol, 1509-1529,' in Ian Blanchard, Anthony Goodman, and Jennifer Newman, eds., Industry and Finance in Early Modern History: Essays Presented to George Hammersley on the Occasion of his 74th Birthday, Vierteljahrschrift für Sozial- und Wirtschaftsgeschichte, Beheift series no. 98 (Franz Steiner Verlage: Stuggart, 1992), pp. 161-85.



40. Hermann Kellenbenz, 'The Gold Mining Activities of the Fuggers and the Cementation Privilege of Kremnitz,' in Ian Blanchard, Anthony Goodman, and Jennifer Newman, eds., Industry and Finance in Early Modern History: Essays Presented to George Hammersley on the Occasion of his 74th Birthday, Vierteljahrschrift für Sozial- und Wirtschaftsgeschichte, Beheift series no. 98 (Franz Steiner Verlage: Stuggart, 1992), pp. 186-204.



41. Ivor Wilks, 'Wangara, Akan, and the Portuguese in the Fifteenth and Sixteenth Centuries,' in Ivor Wilks, ed., Forests of Gold: Essays on the Akan and the Kingdom of Asante (Athens, Ohio, 1993), pp. 1-39; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997):



42. Ian Blanchard, International Lead Production and Trade in the 'Age of the Saigerprozess,' 1460 - 1560, Zeitschrift für Unternehmensgeschichte-Beheifte, Band 85 (Franz Steiner Verlag: Stuttgart, 1995).



43. Robert C. West, 'Aboriginal Metallurgy and Metalworking in Spanish America: A Brief Overview,' in Alan Craig and Robert C. West, eds., In Quest of Mineral Wealth: Aboriginal and Colonial Mining and Metallurgy in Spanish American, Geoscience and Man, vol. XXIII (Baton Rouge, La., 1995), pp. 5-20; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



44. Robert C. West, 'Early Silver Mining in New Spain, 1531 - 1555,' in Alan Craig and Robert C. West, eds., In Quest of Mineral Wealth: Aboriginal and Colonial Mining and Metallurgy in Spanish American, Geoscience and Man, vol. XXIII (Baton Rouge, La., 1995), pp. 119-35; reprinted in Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



45. Ekkehard Westermann, 'Central European Forestry and Mining Industries in the Early Modern Period: An Analysis of Conflicts and Research Problems,' in Simonetta Cavaciocchi, ed., L'uomo e la foresta seccoli XIII-XVIII, Serie II: Atti delle Settimane di Studi e altri convegni, Istituto internazionale di storia economica F. Datini, Prato (Paris: Monnier, 1996), pp. 927-53.



* 46. Peter Bakewell, ed., Mines of Silver and Gold in the Americas, Variorum Series: An Expanding World: The European Impact on World History, 1450 - 1800 (London, 1997).



* 47. John Jay TePaske, 'New World Gold Production in Hemispheric and Global Perspective, 1492 - 1810,' in Clara Nuñez, ed., Monetary History in Global Perspective, 1500 - 1808, Papers presented to Session B-6 of the Twelfth International Economic History Congress (Seville, 1998), pp. 21-32.







1. François Simiand, Recherches anciennes et nouvelles sur le mouvement général des prix du XVIe au XIXe siècle (Paris, 1932).



2. Jelle Riemersma, 'Monetary Confusion as a Factor in the Economic Expansion of Europe, 1550 - 1650,' Explorations in Entrepreneurial History, 5 (1952), 61-74.



3. John Craig, The Mint: A History of the London Mint from A.D. 1287 to 1948 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1953).



4. Jerome Blum, 'Prices in Russia in the Sixteenth Century,' Journal of Economic History, 16 (1956), 182-99.



5. Jean Lafaurie and Pierre Prieur, Les monnaies des rois de France, Vol. 2: François Ier à Henri IV (Paris, 1956).



6. Denis Richet, 'Le cours officiel des monnaies étrangères circulant en France au XVIe siècle,' Revue historique, 225 (1961), 377-96;



* 7. Sir Albert Feavearyear, The Pound Sterling: A History of English Money, 2nd ed. revised by E. Victor Morgan (Oxford, 1963), chapter 3, 'The Great Debasement', pp. 46-75; chapter 4, 'Restoration and Reform', pp. 76-98. See also Morgan (1965).



8. E. Victor Morgan, A History of Money (1965), chapters 1-2.



9. Christopher E. Challis, 'The Debasement of the Coinage, 1542 - 1551,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 20 (1967), 441-66.



10. Kurti N. Chaudhuri, 'Treasure and Trade Balances: the East India Company's Export Trade, 1660-1720,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 21 (Dec. 1968), 497-98.



* 11. Pierre Vilar, Oro y moneda en la historia, 1450-1920 (Barcelona, 1969): reissued in English translation as A History of Gold and Money, 1450-1920 (London, 1976), chapters 4-20, especially nos. 9-10, pp. 76-90.



12. J.D. Gould, The Great Debasement: Currency and the Economy in Mid-Tudor England (Oxford, 1970).  Especially chapter 4, 'Money Supply and Prices,' pp. 71-86.



* 13. Christopher Challis, 'The Circulating Medium and the Movement of Prices in Mid-Tudor England,' in Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England (London, 1971), pp. 117-46. [Original contribution.]



14. Josef Rosen, 'Prices and Public Finance in Basel, 1360 - 1535,' The Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 25 (1972), 1-17.



15. Frank Spooner, The International Economy and Monetary Movements in France, 1493-1725 (Cambridge, Mass., 1972), chapters 1, 3, and 5 especially.



16. Fernand Braudel, Capitalism and Material Life, 1400-1800 (1973), chapter 7, 'Money,' pp. 325-72.



17. Omar Barkham, 'Les mouvements des prix en Turquie entre 1490 et 1655,' in Ernest Labrousse, ed., Mélanges en honneur de Fernand Braudel, Vol. I: Histoire économique du monde méditerranéen, 1450-1650 (Toulouse, 1973), 65-79.



18. C.H. Sutherland, English Coinage, 600-1900 (London, 1973), chapters 8-10 (for period 1485-1660), pp. 110-71.



19. Jean Meuvret, 'Monetary Circulation and the Use of Coinage in Sixteenth and Seventeenth-Century France,' in Peter Earle, ed., Essays in European Economic History, 1500-1800 (Oxford, 1974), pp. 89-99.



20. John Munro, 'Money and Coinage of the Age of Erasmus,' in R. Mynors, D. Thomson, W. Ferguson, eds., Correspondence of Erasmus, Vol. I: 1484-1500 (Toronto, 1974), pp. 311-48.



21. John Munro, 'The Purchasing Power of Coins and of Wages in England and the Low Countries from 1500 to 1514,' in R. Mynors et al., eds. Correspondence of Erasmus, Vol. III: 1501-1514 (Toronto, 1975), pp. 307-45.



22. Philip Grierson, Numismatics (Oxford, 1975).



23. Vera Zimyani, 'A Typology of Central European Inflation in the XVIth and XVIIth Centuries,' Journal of European Economic History, 4 (1975), 399-402.



24. Modesto Ulloa, 'Castilian Seignorage and Coinage in the Reign of Philip II,' Journal of European Economic History, 4 (1975), 459-80.



* 25. Christopher Challis, 'Spanish Bullion and Monetary Inflation in England in the Later Sixteenth Century,' Journal of European Economic History, 4 (1975), 381-92. See another version in Challis (1984).



26. Christopher Challis, The Tudor Coinage (Manchester, 1978), chapters 2-4, especially no. 3: 'Supply of Bullion'.



27. Dennis O. Flynn, 'A New Perspective on the Spanish Price Revolution: The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments,' Explorations in Economic History, XV (1978), 388-406.  An interesting and novel approach, using modern monetary economics.



28. Harry Miskimin, 'The Impact of Credit on Sixteenth-Century English Industry,' in Center for Medieval and Renaissance Studies, UCLA, ed., The Dawn of Modern Banking (New Haven, 1979), pp. 275-90.



29. I.N. Kiss, 'Money, Prices, Values, and Purchasing Power from the XVIth to the XVIIIth Century,' Journal of European Economic History, 9 (1980), 459-90.



30. Fernand Braudel, Civilization and Capitalism, 15th - 18th Centuries, Vol. I: The Structures of Everyday Life: The Limits of the Possible, translated by Sian Reynolds (New York, 1981), chapter 7: 'Money,' pp. 436 - 478. A revised and expanded version of Braudel (1973).



31. Angus Mackay, Money, Prices, and Politics in Fifteenth-Century Castile (London, 1981).



32. Artur Attman, The Bullion Flow Between Europe and the East, 1000-1750 (Goteborg, 1981).



33. Dennis Flynn, 'Fiscal Crisis and the Decline of Spain (Castile),' Journal of Economic History, 42 (Mar. 1982), 139-47.



34. William Atwell, 'International Bullion Flows and the Chinese Economy, circa 1530-1650,' Past and Present, no. 95 (May 1982), 68-90.



35. Artur Attman, Dutch Enterprise in the World Bullion Trade, 1550 -1800 (Goteborg, 1983.)



36. James C. Riley and John J. McCusker, 'Money Supply, Economic Growth, and the Quantity Theory of Money: France, 1650 - 1788,' Explorations in Economic History, 20 (1983), 274 - 93. See Van Cauwenberghe and Irsigler (1984), below.



37. John F. Richards, ed., Precious Metals in the Medieval and Early Modern Worlds (Durham, N.C., 1983).  See especially:



(a) Harry A. Miskimin, 'Money and Money Movements in France and England at the End of the Middle Ages,' pp. 79-96.



(b) John Munro, 'Bullion Flows and Monetary Contraction in Late-Medieval England and the Low Countries,' pp. 97-158.



(c) Philip D. Curtin, 'Africa and the Wider Monetary World, 1250 - 1850,' pp. 231-68.



* (d) Harry E. Cross, 'South American Bullion Production and Export, 1550-1750,' pp. 397-424.



(e) John J. TePaske, 'New World Silver, Castile, and the Philippines, 1590-1800 A.D.,' pp. 424-446.



(f) F.S. Gaastra, 'The Exports of Precious Metal from Europe to Asia by the Dutch East India Company, 1602-1795 A.D.,' pp. 447-76.



(g) Joseph Brenning, 'Silver in Seventeenth-Century Surat: Monetary Circulation and the Price Revolution in Mughal India,' pp. 477-96.



38. Christopher Challis, 'Les trésors d'Espagne et l'inflation monétaire en Angleterre à la fin du XVIe siècle,' in John Day, ed., Etudes d'histoire monétaire, XIIe - XIXe siècles (Lille, 1984), pp. 179 - 91.



39. Eddy Van Cauwenberghe and Franz Irsigler, eds. Münzprägung, Geldumlauf und Wechselkurse/Minting, Monetary Circulation and Exchange Rates: Akten des 8th International Economic History Congress Budapest 1982 (Trierer Historische Forschungen, Vol. 7, Trier, 1984):



(a) Dennis Flynn, 'The 'Population Thesis' View of Inflation versus Economics and History,' pp. 361-82.



(b) Dennis Flynn, 'Use and Misuse of the Quantity Theory of Money in Early Modern Historiography,' pp. 383 - 417.

Note: although Flynn has attacked the Fisher Identity and the Quantity Theory in all his articles, his alternative 'cost of production' theory is in fact a version of the quantity theory. See also Flynn (1989) in Section B.



(c) John Munro, 'Mint Outputs, Money, and Prices in Late-Medieval England and the Low Countries,' pp. 31 - 122.



(d) Eddy Van Cauwenberghe and Didier Haenecaert, 'Mintage and Coin Circulation in the Southern Low Countries, 14th to 18th Centuries: Some Theoretical Reflections,' pp. 151-80.



(e) John J. McCusker and James C. Riley, 'Money Supply, Economic Growth, and the Quantity Theory of Money: France, 1650 - 1788,' pp. 255 - 90.



(f) Mark Steele, 'Movements of Exchange Rates in the Second Half of the Sixteenth Century,' pp. 291 - 311.



40. John Day, ed., Etudes d'histoire monétaire, XIIe - XIXe siècles (Lille, 1984): collection of various essays in monetary history.



(a) K. N. Chaudhuri, 'Circuits monétaires internationaux, prix comparées et spécialisation économique, 1500 - 1750,' pp. 49-68.



(b) Christopher Challis, 'Les trésors d'Espagne et l'inflation monétaire en Angleterre à la fin du XVIe siècle,' pp. 159-78.



(c) José-Gentil da Silva, 'De la modernité du XVIe siècle au sévère mais riche XVIIe: sur les monnaies instrument politique,' pp. 397 - 422.



41. Debra Glassman and Angela Redish, 'New Estimates of the Money Stock in France, 1493 - 1680,' Journal of Economic History, 45 (March 1985), 31 - 46.



42. Michel Morineau, Incroyables gazettes et fabuleux métaux: les retours des trésors américains d'après les gazettes hollandaises (XVIe - XVIIIe siècles), Studies in Modern Capitalism (Paris: Editions de la Maison des Sciences de l'Homme; and Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1985).



43. Dennis Flynn, 'The Microeconomics of Silver and East-West Trade in the Early Modern Period,' in Wolfram Fischer, R. Marvin McInnis, eds.. The Emergence of a World Economy, 1500 - 1914, Beiträge zur Wirtschafts- und Sozialgeschichte, Vol. I (Wiesbaden, 1986), pp. 37 - 60. Not readily available. See also essays in Van Cauwenberghe and Irsigler (1984), above.



* 44. Artur Attman, American Bullion in the European World Trade, 1600 - 1800 (Goteborg, 1986).



45. Carlo M. Cipolla, La moneta a Firenze nel cinquecento (Bologna: Il Mulino, 1987). Reissued in English translation as: Money in Sixteenth-Century Florence (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1989).



46. Debra Glassman and Angela Redish, 'Currency Depreciation in Early Modern England and France,' Explorations in Economic History, 25 (January 1988).



47. Erik Aerts, 'La circulation monétaire française aux XVIe et XVIIe siècles,' Revue historique, 280 (1988), 395 - 409.



* 48. Peter Spufford, Money and Its Use in Medieval Europe (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988), chapter 16: 'Money on the Eve of the Price Revolution,' pp. 363-77.



49. Eddy Van Cauwenberghe, ed., Precious Metals, Coinage and the Changes of Monetary Structures in Latin-American, Europe, and Asia (Late Middle Ages - Early Modern Times) (Leuven: Leuven University Press, 1989):



(a) Eddy Van Cauwengerghe and Rainer Metz, 'Coinage and the Coin (Money) Stock: Problems, Possiblities and First Results (The Southern Low Countries, 1334 - 1789),' pp. 7-24.



(b) John H. Munro, 'Petty Coinage in the Economy of Late-Medieval Flanders: Some Social Considerations of Public Minting,' pp. 25-56.



(c) Michael North, 'Bullion Transfer from Western Europe to the Baltic and the Problem of Trade Balances: 1550-1750,' pp. 57-64.



(d) Artur Attman, 'The Bullion Flow from Europe to the East: 1500-1800,' pp. 65-68.



(e) Carlo M. Cipolla, 'American Treasure and the Florentine Coinage in the Sixteenth Century,' pp. 69-76.



(f) Michel Morineau, 'Precious Metals, Money and Capital,' pp. 77-82.



(g) Joachim Schüttenhelm, 'The Problems of Quantifying the Volume of Money in Early Modern Times: A Preliminary Survey,' pp. 83-98.



(h) Kazui Tashiro, 'Exports of Japan's Silver to China via Korea and Changes in the Tokugawa Monetary System during the 17th and 18th Centuries,' pp. 99-116.



(i) Frank Perlin, 'The Parts of the `Machine' Division of Labour in European and Indian Coin Manufacture before Mechanization,' pp. 117-58.



(j) Alan K. Craig, 'Mining Ordenanzas and Silver Production at Potosi: The Toledo Reforms,' pp. 159-84.



(k) Kerry W. Doherty and Dennis O. Flynn, 'A Microeconomic Quantity Theory of Money and the Price Revolution,' pp. 185-208.



(l) Winfried Stier, 'Meaning and Function of New Methods of Time Series Analysis for Economic History,' pp. 209-22.



50. Christopher Challis, Currency and the Economy in Tudor and Early Stuart England (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 1989).



51. Michael North, Geldumlauf und Wirtschaftskonjunktur im südlichen Ostseeraum an der Wende zur Neuzeit (1440 - 1570), Kieler Historische Studien vol. 35 (Sigmaringen: Jan Thorbeke Verlag, 1990): see chapter IV, 'Geldmenge,' pp. 105-37; especially IV.2, '»Bullion Famine« und monetäre Kontraktion im Spätmittelalter,' pp. 115-27; and IV.3,'»Spanisches Silber« und monetäre Expansion im 16. Jahrhundert,' pp. 128-37; and chapter VI: 'Wirtschaftskonjunktur,' pp. 174-223.



52. Ward Barrett, 'World Bullion Flows, 1450 - 1800,' in James D. Tracy, ed., The Rise of Merchant Empires: Long-Distance Trade in the Early Modern World, 1350 - 1750 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1990), pp. 224 - 254.



53. Eddy Van Cauwenberghe, ed., Money, Coins, and Commerce: Essays in the Monetary History of Asia and Europe (From Antiquity to Modern Times), Studies in Social and Economic History, Vol. 22 (Leuven: Leuven University Press, 1991):



(a) Dennis O. Flynn, 'Comparing the Tokugawa Shogunate with Hapsburg Spain: Two Silver-Based Empires in a Global Setting,' pp. 11 - 46.



(b) Takeshi Hamashita, 'The Asian Trade Network and Silver Circulation,' pp. 47 - 54.



(c) Om Prakash, 'Precious Metal Flows, Coinage and Prices in India in the 17th and Early 18th Century,' pp. 55 - 74.



(d) Kazui Tashiro, 'Exports of Gold and Silver during the Early Tokugawa Era, 1600 - 1750,' pp. 75 - 94.



(e) Tsu-yu Chen, 'China's Copper Production in Yunnan Province, 1700 - 1800,' pp. 95 - 118.



(f) John H. Munro, 'The Central European Silver Mining Boom, Mint Outputs, and Prices in the Low Countries and England, 1450 - 1550,' pp. 119 - 83.



(g) Michael North, 'Bullion Transfer from Western Europe to the Baltic and Asia, 1550 - 1750: A Comparison,' pp. 185 - 96.



(h) Michel Morineau, 'The Changing Nature of Money,' pp. 197 - 208.



(i) Winfried Stier, 'Analysis of Causality in Economic History,' pp. 209 - 20.



(j) Frank Perlin, 'World Economic Integration before Industrialisation and the Euro-Asian Monetary Continuum: Their Implications and Problems of Categories, Definitions and Method,' pp. 239 - 74.



(k) Pin-tsun Chang and Chau-nan Chen, 'Competing Monies in Chinese History from the 15th to the 19th Century,' pp. 375 - 84.



(l) Sanjay Subrahmanyam, 'Precious Metal Flows and Prices in Western and Southern Asia, 1500 - 1750: Some Comparative and Conjunctural Aspects,' pp. 385 - 418.



(m) Peter Klein, 'Dutch Monetary Policy in the East Indies, 1602 - 1942: A Case of Changing Continuity,' pp. 419 - 54.



(n) V.B. Gupta, 'Imports of Treasure and Surat's Trade in the 17th Century,' pp. 455 - 72.



(o) Om Prakash, 'Sarrafs, Financial Intermediation and Credit Network in Mughal India,' pp. 473 - 90.



(p) Dennis Flynn and Lori Warner, 'A Model of Minting and Melting Coins,' pp. 521 - 53.



54. Michael North, ed., Kredit im spätmittelalterlichen und frühneuzeitlichen Europa, Quellen und Darstellungen zur Hansischen Geschichte, Hansische Geschichstverein, new series, vol. 37 (Cologne and Vienna: Böhlau Verlag, 1991).



(a) Giuseppe Felloni, 'Kredit und Banken in Italien, 15. - 17. Jahrhundert,' pp. 9 - 24.



(b) John H. Munro, 'Die Anfänge der Übertragbarkeit: einige Kreditinnovationen im englisch-flämischen Handel des Spätmittelalters (1360 - 1540),' pp. 39 - 70.



(c) Stuart Jenks, 'Kredit im Londoner Aussenhandel um die Mitte des 15. Jahrhunderts,' pp. 71 - 102.



(d) Klaus-Joachim Lorenzen-Schmidt, 'Kaufmannskredite in nordwestdeutschen Städten im 15. und 16. Jahrhundert,' pp. 121 - 32.



(e) Rudolf Holbach, '`Im auff arbait gelihen': zur Rolle des Kredits in der gewerblichen Produktion, 13. - 16. Jahrhundert,' pp. 133 - 58.



(f) Henryk Samsonowicz, 'Die Rolle des Kredits im Wirtschaftsleben des mittelalterlichen Polen,' pp. 159 - 70.



(g) Troels Dahlerup, 'Kirche und Kredit. Ein Beitrag zur Geldwirtschaft im spätmittelalterlichen und frühneuzeitlichen Dänemark,' pp. 170 - 80.



(h) Herman Van der Wee, 'Forschungen zur Geschichte des privaten Kredits. Ein methodologischer Überblick,' pp. 217 - 22.



55. Dino Puncuh and Giuseppe Felloni, eds., Banchi pubblici, banchi privati e monti di pietà nell'Europa preindustriale: Amministrazione, tecniche operative e ruoli economici, Atti della società Ligure di storia patria, new series, vol. 31, 2 vols. (Genoa: Società Ligure di Storia Patria, 1991.



(a) Rondo Cameron, 'International Private Banking from the Late Middle Ages to the Mid-Nineteenth Century,' pp. 17 - 34.



(b) Charles P. Kindleberger, 'Currency Debasement in the Early Seventeenth Century and the Establishment of Deposit Banks in Central Europe,' pp. 35 - 46.



(c) John H. Munro, 'The International Law Merchant and the Evolution of Negotiable Credit in Late-Medieval England and the Low Countries,' pp. 47 - 80.



(d) Umberto Santarelli, '«Maxima fuit Florentiae altercatio»: l'usura e i «montes»,' pp. 81 - 94.



(e) Pierre Jeannin, 'De l'arithmétique commerciale à la pratique bancaire: l'escompte aux XVIe - XVIIe siècles,' pp. 95 - 116.



(f) Geoffrey T. Mills, 'Early Accounting in Northern Italy: the Role of Commercial Development and the Printing Press in the Expansion of Double-Entry in Genoa, Venice, and Florence,' pp. 117 - 32.



(g) Jürgen Schneider, 'Messen, Banken und Börsen (15. - 18. Jahrhundert),' pp. 133 - 70.



(h) Marcello De Cecco, 'Nascita e sviluppi del sistema monetario internazionale,' pp. 171 - 80.



(i) Mark Steele, 'Bankruptcy and Insolvency: Bank Failure and its Control in Preindustrial Europe,' pp. 181 - 204.



(j) Vito Piergiovanni, 'I banchieri nel diritto genovese e nella scienza giuridica tra medioevo ed età moderna,' pp. 205 - 24.



(k) Giuseppe Felloni, 'I primi banchi pubblici della Casa di San Giorgio (1408-45),' pp. 225 - 46.



(l) Peter Marzahl y Enrique Otte, 'El imperio genovés, 1522 - 1556,' pp. 247 - 64.



(m) Felipe Ruiz Martín, 'La banca genovesa en España durante el siglo XVII,' pp. 265 - 74.



(n) Reinhold C. Mueller, '«Quando i banchi no' ha' fede, la terra no' ha credito». Bank Loans to the Venetian State in the Fifteenth Century,' pp. 275 - 308.



(o) Ugo Tucci, 'Il banco pubblico a Venezia,' pp. 309 - 26.



(p) Alberto Cova, 'Banchi e monti pubblici a Milano nei secoli XVI e XVII,' pp. 327 - 40.



(q) Michele Cassandro, 'Caratteri dell'attività bancaria fiorentina nei secoli XV e XVI,' pp. 341 - 66.



(r) Julius Kirshner and Jacob Klerman, 'The Seven Percent Fund of Renaissance Florence,' pp. 367 - 98.



(s) Giuseppe Conti, 'Il ruolo delle banche nell'economia del Granducato di Toscana nella prima metà dell'800. Strategi e teniche tra tradizione e innovazione,' pp. 399 - 432.



(t) Luciano Palermo, 'Banchi privati e finanze pubbliche nella Roma del primo Rinascimento,' pp. 433 - 60.



(u) Fausto Piola Caselli, 'Banchi privati e debito pubblico pontificio a Roma tra Cinquecento e Seicento,' pp. 461 - 96.



(v) Luigi De Rosa, 'Banchi pubblici, banchi privati e monti di pietà a Napoli nei secoli XVI - XVIII,' pp. 497 - 512.



(w) Ennio De Simone, 'I banchi pubblici napoletani al tempo di Carlo di Borbone: qualche aspetto della loro attività,' pp. 513 - 40.



(x) Rodolfo Savelli, 'Aspetti del dibattio quattrocentesco sui monti di pietà: consilia e tractatus,' pp. 541 - 64.



(y) Viviana Bonazzoli, 'Monti di pietà e politica economica delle città nelle Marche alla fine del '400,' pp. 565 -90.



(z) Paola Massa Piergiovanni, 'Assistenza e credito alle origini dell'esperienza ligure dei monti di pietà,' pp. 591 - 616.



(aa) Carlo M. Travaglini, 'Il ruolo del Banco di Santo Spirito e del monte di pietà nel mercato finanziario romano del Settecento,' pp. 617 - 40.



(bb) Amleto Spicciani, 'I prestiti su pegno fondiario durante il secolo XII dell'ospitale lucchese di Altopascio,' pp. 641 - 72.



(cc) Giovanni Zalin, 'Nella Verona tardo - moderna. L'attività di prestito del monastero di Santa Teresa: prime ricerche,' pp. 673 - 702.



(dd) Fiorenzo Landi, 'Clero regolare ed economia creditizia: il caso dei monaci della congregazione cassinese,' pp. 703 - 32.



(ee) Michele Luzzati, 'Ruolo e funzione dei banchi ebraici dell'Italia centro-settentrionale nei secoli XV e XVI,' pp. 733 - 50.



(ff) Henri Dubois, 'Crédit et banque en France aux deux derniers siècles du moyen âge,' pp. 751 - 80.



(gg) Wim Blockmans, 'Banques et crédit en Flandre au bas moyen âge,' pp. 781 - 88.



(hh) Paul Soetaert, 'Gestion, technique de prêt et signification économico-sociale des monts-de-piété aux Pays-Bas méridionaux (XVIIe - XVIIIe siècles),' pp. 789 - 798.



(ii) Helma Houtman - De Smedt, 'Les banques et le système bancaire aux Pays-Bas autrichiens au XVIIIe siècle,' pp. 797 - 808.



(jj) Michael North, 'Banking and Credit in Northern Germany in the Fifteenth and Sixteenth Centuries,' pp. 809 - 26.



(kk) Reinhard Hildebrandt, 'Banking System and Capital Market in South Germany (1450 - 1650). Organisation and Economic Importance,' pp. 827 - 42.



(ll) Hermann Kellenbenz, 'Private und öffentliche Banken in Deutschland um die wende zum 17. Jahrhundert,' pp. 843 - 78.



(mm) Martin Koerner, 'Banques publiques et banquiers privés dans la Suissse preindustrielle: administration, fonctionnement et rôle économique,' pp. 879 - 92.



(nn) Peter Spufford, 'Credit in Rural England before the Advent of Country Banks,' pp. 893 - 912.



(oo) Frank T. Melton, 'An Overview of Banking in London, 1750 - 1870,' pp. 893 - 912.



(pp) Paola Pierucci, 'La zecca ragusea come banca pubblica nella seconda metà del XVIII secolo: il ruolo economico,' pp. 925 - 40.



(qq) Juan Carrasco Perez, 'Cambistas y «banqueros» en el reino de Navarra (siglos XIII-XV). Dinero, banca y crédito en la Navarra bajomedieval,' pp. 941 - 62.



(rr) Esteban Hernandez Esteve, 'Aspectos organizativos, operativos, administrativos y contables del proyecto de erarios publicos. Contribución al estudio de la banca pública en España durante la baja Edad Media y comienzos de la Moderna,' pp. 963 - 1032.



(ss) Emiliano Fernandez De Pinedo, 'Credit et banque dans la Castille aux XVIe et XVIIe siècles,' pp. 1035 - 50.



(tt) Santiago Tinoco Rubiales, 'Banca privada y poder municipal en la ciudad de Sevilla (siglo XVI),' pp. 1051 - 34.



(uu) Valentin Vazquez De Prada, 'Cambistas, mercaderes y teologos en Castilla, a mediados del siglo XVI,' pp. 1135 - 56.



(vv) Herman Van der Wee, 'The Medieval and Early-Modern Origins of European Banking,' pp. 1157 - 73.



56. Herman Van der Wee and Ian Blanchard, 'The Habsburgs and the Antwerp Money market: the Exchange Crises of 1521 and 1522-23,' in Ian Blanchard, Anthony Goodman, and Jennifer Newman, eds., Industry and Finance in Early Modern History: Essays Presented to George Hammersley on the Occasion of his 74th Birthday, Vierteljahrschrift für Sozial- und Wirtschaftsgeschichte Beheift series no. 98 (Stuttgart: Steiner Verlag, 1992).



57. John H. Munro, Bullion Flows and Monetary Policies in England and the Low Countries, 1350 - 1500, Variorum Collected Studies series CS 355 (London, 1992).



58. Christopher Challis, 'Lord Hastings to the Great Silver Recoinage, 1464 - 1699,' in Christopher E. Challis, ed., A New History of the Royal Mint (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992), pp. 179-397. See also his appendices:



a) C.E. Challis, 'Appendix 1. Mint Output, 1220-1985,' pp. 673-698



b) C.E. Challis, 'Mint Contracts, 1279-1817,' pp. 699-758.



59. Herman Van der Wee, The Low Countries in the Early Modern World, translated by Lisabeth Fackelman (London, Variorium, 1993). Collected essays.



(a) 'Antwerp and the New Financial Methods of the 16th and 17th Centuries,' pp. 145-66. [From Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 222 (1967), 1067-89.]



(b) 'Monetary Policy in the Duchy of Brabant, Late Middle Ages to Early Modern Times,' pp. 167-82. [From H. Van den Eerenbeemt, ed., Het geld zoekt zijn weg (the Van Lanschot-Lectures on Banking in Brabant), in Bijdragen tot de geschiedenis van het zuiden van Nederland (Tilburg, 1987), pp. 37-58.]



(c) 'Credit in Brabant, Late Middle Ages to Early Modern Times,' pp. 183-97. [From H. Van den Eerenbeemt, ed., Het geld zoekt zijn weg (the Van Lanschot-Lectures on Banking in Brabant), in Bijdragen tot de geschiedenis van het zuiden van Nederland (Tilburg, 1987), pp. 59-78.]



60. John F. Chown, A History of Money: From AD 800 (London and New York: Routledge, 1994). Use with care.



* 61. Glyn Davies, A History of Money: From Ancient Times to the Present Day (Cardiff: University of Wales Press, 1994). This is a far better and indeed very impressive monetary history.



62. Michael North, Das Geld und seine Geschichte: vom Mittelalter bis zur Gegenwart (Munich: C.H. Beck, 1994).



63. Akira Motomura, 'The Best and Worst of Currencies: Seigniorage and Currency Policy in Spain, 1597 - 1650,' The Journal of Economic History, 54:1 (March 1994), 104 - 27.



64. Marie-Thérèse Boyer-Xambeu, Ghislain Deleplace, and Lucien Gillard, Private Money and Public Currencies: the 16th Century Challenge, trans. by Aziseh Azodi, from Monnaie privée et pouvoir des princes (Paris, 1986) in a revised and abridged form, with an introduction by Charles Kindleberger (London and New York, 1994).



65. Alan M. Stahl, 'Office-Holding and the Mint in Early Renaissance Italy,' Renaissance Studies, 8:4 (1994), 405-15.



66. Om Prakash, Precious Metals and Commerce: The Dutch East India Company in the Indian Ocean Trade, Variorum Collected Studies Series: CS443 (London and Brookfield, 1994).



67. Michael North, ed., Von Aktie bis Zoll: Ein historische Lexikon des Geldes (Munich: Verlag C.H. Beck, 1995). An encyclopedia of entries on money and coinage.



68. Elizabeth Gemmill and Nicholas Mayhew, Changing Values in Medieval Scotland: A Study of Prices, Money, and Weights and Measures (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1995).



69. Harry A. Miskimin, 'Silver, not Sterling: A Comment on Mayhew's Velocity,' and N.J. Mayhew, 'Silver, Not Sterling: A Reply to Prof. Miskimin,' The Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 49:2 (May 1996), 358-61.



70. Stephen Quinn, 'Gold, Silver, and the Glorious Revolution: Arbitrage Between Bills of Exchange and Bullion,' The Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 49:3 (August 1996), 473-90. For the later 17th century; but provides some relevant perspective on this debate.



71. Michael North, From the North Sea to the Baltic: Essays in Commercial, Monetary and Agrarian History, 1500 - 1800, Variorum Collected Studies Series CS 548 (Aldershot: Ashgate Publishing, 1996).



a) 'Der Grosse Lübecker Münschatz von 1533 also Quelle der hansischen Wirtschaftsgeschichte,' from Hansisches Geschichtsblätter, 108 (1990), 31- 43.



b) 'Banking and Credit in Northern Germany in the Fifteenth and Sixteenth Centuries,' from Dino Puncuh and Giuseppe Felloni, eds., Banchi pubblici, banchi privati e monti di pietà nell'Europa preindustriale: Amministrazione, tecniche operative e ruoli economici, Atti della Società Ligure di Storia Patria, new series, vol. 31, 2 vols. (Genoa: Società Ligure di Storia Patria, 1991), pp. 811-26.



c) 'Bullion Transfer from Western Europe to the Baltic and the Problem of Trade Balances, 1550 - 1750,' from Eddy Van Cauwenberge, ed., Precious Metals, Coinage, and the Changes of Monetary Structures in Latin America, Europe and Asia (Leuven: Leuven University Press, 1989), pp. 57-63.



d) 'Geldumlauf und Wirtschaftsregion: Untersuchungen am Beispiel Königlich Preußens und des Herzogtums Preußen in der Frühen Neuzeit,' from Hamburger Beiträge zur Numismatik , 30:32 (1985), 71-88.



72. Dennis O. Flynn, ed., World Silver and Monetary History in the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries (Aldershot: Variorum, 1996). Collected essays.



73. Arthur J. Rolnick, François R. Velde, and Warren E. Weber, 'The Debasement Puzzle: An Essay on Medieval Monetary History,' Journal of Economic History, 56:4 (December 1996), 789-808.



74. Sevket Pamuk, 'In the Absence of Domestic Currency: Debased European Coinage in the Seventeenth-Century Ottoman Empire,' Journal of Economic History, 57:2 (June 1997), 345-66.



75. Akira Motomura, 'New Data on Minting, Seigniorage, and the Money Supply in Spain (Castile), 1597 - 1643,' Explorations in Economic History, 34:3 (July 1997), 331-67.



76. Oliver Volckart, 'Early Beginnings of the Quantity Theory of Money and Their Context in Polish and Prussian Monetary Policies, c.1520 - 1550,' The Economic History Review, 2nd ser., 50:3 (August 1997), 450-76.



77. Sidney Homer and Michael Bordo, A History of Interest Rates, 2nd edn. (New Brunswick, New Jersey: Rutgers University Press, 1977).



78. Arthur J. Rolnick and Warren E. Weber, 'Money, Inflation, and Output under Fiat and Commodity Standards,' Journal of Political Economy, 105:6 (December 1997),



79. Nathan Sussman, 'The Late Medieval Bullion Famine Reconsidered,' Journal of Economic History, 58:1 (March 1998), 126-54. For a late-medieval perspective on the period prior to the Price Revolution, though one that I do not fully share, despite the acknowledgements from the author.









D. The 'Real' Factors: Demographic and Other Physical Forces Influencing Price Changes



N.B. In examining these readings and discussing price-changes during the Price-Revolution era, you must be very careful -- as many of the following authors have not been so careful -- to distinguish between changes in relative prices and changes in the price level.



1. F.J. Fisher, 'The Development of the London Food Market, 1540-1640,' Economic History Review, 1st ser. 5 (1935), reprinted in E. M. Carus-Wilson, ed., Essays in Economic History, 3 vols., Vol. I (London, 1954), , 135-51.



2. E.E. Rich, 'Elizabethan Population,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 2 (1949-50), 247-65.



3. Joan Thirsk, 'Industries in the Countryside,' in F.J. Fisher, ed., Essays in the Economic and Social History of Tudor and Stuart England (Cambridge, 1961), pp. 70-88.  On partible inheritance, population growth, and rural industrialization.

4. G.S.L. Tucker, 'English Pre-Industrial Population Trends,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 16 (1963), 205-30.



5. Y. S. Brenner, 'The Inflation of Prices in Early Sixteenth-Century England,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 14 (1961-62), reprinted in Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England (1971), pp. 69-90.



6. Y.S. Brenner, 'The Inflation of Prices in England, 1551-1650,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 15 (1962-63), 266-84.



7. E.A. Wrigley, ed., Introduction to English Historical Demography from the Sixteenth to the Eighteenth Centuries (London, 1964).



** 8. Karl Helleiner, 'The Population of Europe from the Black Death to the Eve of the Vital Revolution,' in E.E. Rich and Charles Wilson, eds., Cambridge Economic History of Europe, Vol. IV: Economy of Expanding Europe in the 16th and 17th Centuries (1967), pp. 1-40.



9. Harry Miskimin, The Economy of Early Renaissance Europe, 1300-1460 (1969: reissued Cambridge, 1975), Chapter 2, 'Recovery:  Population and the Money Supply,' and Chapter 3, 'Agriculture: the Rising Demand for Food,' pp. 20-82 (but especially pp. 20-28).



10. Julian Cornwall, 'English Population in the Early Sixteenth Century,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 23 (1970), 32-44.



* 11. Ian Blanchard, 'Population Change, Enclosure, and the Early Tudor Economy,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 23 (1970), 427-45.



* 12. F.J. Fisher, 'London as an `Engine of Economic Growth',' in J.S. Bromley and E.H. Kossmann, eds., Britain and the Netherlands, Vol. IV:  Metropolis, Dominion, and Province (The Hague, 1971), pp. 3-16.  An important aspect of English population growth.



* 13. J.D. Chambers, Population, Economy, and Society in Pre-Industrial England (1972), especially chapters 1, 5, and 6.



14. R.D. Lee, 'Population in Pre-Industrial England: An Econometric Analysis,' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 86 (1973), 581-607.



15. Roger Mols, 'Population in Europe, 1500-1700,' in Carlo Cipolla, ed., Fontana Economic History of Europe, Vol. II: Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries (London, 1974), pp. 15-83.



* 16. Harry Miskimin, 'Population Growth and the Price Revolution in England,' Journal of European Economic History, 4 (1975), 179-85. Reprinted in his Cash, Credit and Crisis in Europe, 1300 - 1600 (London: Variorum Reprints, 1989), no. xiv. [This issue of the journal is now missing; but Xeroxed copies of the article are placed in the Sidney Smith Lending Library and the Sigmund Samuel Library.]



17. Jan De Vries, The Economy of Europe in an Age of Crisis, 1600-1750 (Cambridge, 1976), Chapter 1, 'The Age of Crisis,' and Chapter 2, 'The Agrarian Economies on Divergent Paths,' pp. 1-83, but especially pp. 4-l6.



18. Peter Clark and Paul Slack, English Towns in Transition, 1500-1700 (1976), Chapter 6: 'Demographic Background'.



* 19. David Grigg, Population Growth and Agrarian Change: An Historical Perspective (Cambridge University Press, 1980), chapter 8, 'England in the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries,' pp. 83 - 101.



** 20. E.A. Wrigley and R.S. Schofield, The Population History of England, 1541-1871:  A Reconstruction (London and Cambridge Mass., 1981; 2nd edn. with new introduction, Cambridge and New York, 1989).  See especially chapter 10, pp. 402-53.



See also the review article on this book by Michael Flinn, in The Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 35 (1982), 443-57. 



21. Fernand Braudel, Civilization and Capitalism, 15th - 18th Centuries, Vol. I: The Structures of Everyday Life: The Limits of the Possible (trans. Sian Reynolds, New York, 1981), chapter 1: 'The Weight of Numbers,' pp. 31 - 102.



22. Michael Flinn, The European Demographic System, 1500-1820 (Baltimore, 1981).



23. Ester Boserup, Population and Technological Change: A Study of Long Term Trends (Chicago, 1981).



24. Bruce Campbell, 'The Population of Early Tudor England: A re-evaluation of the 1522 Muster Returns and the 1524 and 1525 Lay Subsidies,' Journal of Historical Geography, 7 (1981), 145-54.



* 25. D.M. Palliser, 'Tawney's Century: Brave New World or Malthusian Trap?' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 35 (1982), 339-53.



26. Roderick C. Floud, 'Economics and Population Growth: A Comment,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 14 (Autumn 1983), 439-44.



27. Christopher Clay, Economic Expansion and Social Change: England, 1500 - 1700, Vol. I: People, Land and Towns (Cambridge, 1984), chapter 1, 'Population,' pp. 1 - 28.



* 28. E. A. Wrigley, 'Urban Growth and Agricultural Change: England and the Continent in the Early Modern Period,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 15 (Spring 1985), 683-728.



29. John Hatcher, 'Mortality in the Fifteenth Century: Some New Evidence,' Economic History Review, 39 (Feb. 1986), 19-38.



30. David Levine, Reproducing Families: The Political Economy of English Population History (Cambridge, 1987).



* 31. Robert Stavins, 'A Model of English Demographic Change, 1573 - 1873,' Explorations in Economic History, 25 (Jan. 1988), 98 - 116. Important article; but only for those with advanced mathematics and econometrics.



32. Mark Bailey, 'Blowing up Bubbles: Some New Demographic Evidence for the Fifteenth Century?' Journal of Medieval History, 15 (1989), 347-58.



33. Edward Crenshaw, 'The Demographic Regime of Western Europe in the Early Modern Period: A Review of the Literature,' Journal of Family History, 14 (1989), 177-89.



34. Ann Kussmaul, A General View of the Rural Economy of England, 1538 - 1840, Cambridge Studies in Population, Economy, and Society in Past Time (Cambridge University Press, 1990). With considerable emphasis on demographic factors, especially in chapter two.



** 35. R. A. Houston, The Population History of Britain and Ireland, 1500 - 1750, Studies in Economic and Social History (London: Macmillan Press, 1991).



36. E. A. Wrigley, 'Mortality and the European Marriage Pattern System,' in Catherine Geissler and Derek Oddy, eds., Food, Diet, and Economic Change, Past and Present (Leicester: Leicester University Press, 1993), pp. 35-49.



** 36. Jan de Vries, 'Population,' in Thomas A. Brady, jr., Heiko O. Oberman, and James D. Tracy, eds., Handbook of European History, 1400-1600: Late Middle Ages, Renaissance and Reformation, Vol. I: Structures and Assertions (Leiden/New York/Cologne: E.J. Brill, 1994), pp. 1 - 50.



** 37. E.A. Wrigley, R.S. Davies, J.E. Oeppen, and R.S. Schofield, English Population History from Family Reconstitution, 1580 - 1837, Cambridge Studies In Population, Economy an Society in Past Time no. 32 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997).



38. David Levine, 'Sampling History: The English Population,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 28:4 (Spring 1998), 605-32. A very critical review article based on: E.A. Wrigley, R.S. Davies, J.E. Oeppen, and R.S. Schofield, English Population History from Family Reconstruction, 1580 - 1837 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997).



39. Michel Morineau, 'Malthus: There and Back, From the Period Preceding the Black Death to the Industrial Revolution,' The Journal of European Economic History, 27:1 (Spring 1998), 137-202.





E. Climate, Harvests, Famine, and Disease: Their Impact Upon Prices and Living Standards



1. W. G. Hoskins, 'Harvest Fluctuations and English Economic History, 1480-1619,' Agricultural History Review, 2 (1953-54), 28-46; reprinted in W. E. Minchinton, ed., Essays in Agrarian History (1968), Vol. I, pp. 93-116.



2. L. Fabian Hirst, The Conquest of the Plague (Oxford, 1953).



3. R. Pollitzer, Plague (World Health Organization, Geneva, 1954).



4. Gustav Utterstrom, 'Climatic Fluctuations and Population Problems in Early Modern History,' Scandinavian Economic History Review, 3 (1955), 30-47. The article that sparked the debate, and attacked by Le Roy Ladurie (1971, 1972). Use with care, since Utterstrom is largely anecdotal.



5. E. L. Jones, Seasons and Prices:  The Role of Weather in English Agricultural History (London, 1964).



6. F.J. Fisher, 'Inflation and Influenza in Tudor England,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 18 (1965), 120-29.



7. G. B. Masefield, 'Crops and Livestock,' in E.E. Rich and Charles Wilson, eds., Cambridge Economic History of Europe, Vol. IV:  16th and 17th Centuries (Cambridge, 1967), pp. 276-87, 299-307.



8. J.F.D. Shrewsbury, A History of the Bubonic Plague in the British Isles (Cambridge, 1970).



9. R. B. Outhwaite, 'Dearth and Government Intervention in English Grain Markets, 1590-1700,' Economic History Review, 34 (1971), 389-406.



10. Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, Times of Feast, Times of Famine:  A History of Climate since the Year 1000 (New York, 1971). Impressive, but less useful than it sounds.



* 11. Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, 'History and Climate,' in Peter Burke, ed., The Economy and Society in Early Modern Europe:  Essays from Annales (London, 1972), pp. 134-69. Reprinted in translation from Annales: Économies, sociétés, civilisations, 14 (1959).



* 12. Fernand Braudel, The Mediterranean and the Mediterranean World in the Age of Phillip II, Vol. I (1972), Part I. iv, 'Climate and History,' pp. 231-75.



13. Frederick Cartwright, Disease and History (New York, 1972).



14. Andrew Appleby, 'Disease or Famine?  Mortality in Cumberland and Westmorland, 1580-1640,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 26 (1973), 403-32.



15. Carlo Cipolla, 'The Plague and Pre-Malthus Malthusians,' Journal of European Economic History, 3 (1974), 277-84.



16. Michael Flinn, 'The Stabilisation of Mortality in Pre-Industrial Western Europe,' Journal of European Economic History, 3 (1974), 285-318.



17. Andrew Appleby, 'Nutrition and Disease: The Case of London, 1550 - 1750,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 6 (Summer 1975), 1-22.



18. J. N. Biraben, Les hommes et la peste en France et dans les pays européens et méditerranées, 2 vols. (Paris and The Hague, 1975-76).



19. William McNeill, Plagues and Peoples (New York, 1976), Chapters 4-6.



20. J. D. Post, 'Famine, Mortality, and Epidemic Disease in the Process of Modernization,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 29 (1976), 14-37.



21. Carlo Cipolla, Faith, Reason, and the Plague in Seventeenth-Century Tuscany, trans. Muriel Kittel (1977; English edn. New York, 1979).



22. Andrew Appleby, 'Famine, Mortality, and Epidemic Disease:  A Comment,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 30 (1977), 508-12.



23. Allan Sharlin, 'Natural Decrease in Early Modern Cities: A Reconsideration,' Past and Present, No. 79 (May 1978), 126-38.



* 24. John A. Eddy, 'The 'Maunder Minimum':  Sunspots and Climate in the Reign of Louis XIV,' in Geoffrey Parker and Lesley Smith, eds., The General Crisis of the Seventeenth Century (London, 1978), pp. 226-68.  See also Parker's introduction, pp. 6-l2.



25. Victor H. Skipp, Crisis and Development: An Ecological Case Study of the Forest of Arden, 1570 - 1674 (Cambridge, 1978).



26. Andrew Appleby, 'Disease, Diet, and History,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 8 (Spring 1978), 725-35.



27. Andrew Appleby, Famine in Tudor and Stuart England (Stanford, 1978).



** 28. Andrew Appleby, 'Grain Prices and Subsistence Crises in England and France, 1590-1740,' Journal of Economic History, 29 (1979), 865-87.



29. Andrew Appleby, 'Crises of Mortality: Periodicity, Intensity, Chronology and Geographical Extent,' in H. Charbonneau and A. Larose, eds., The Great Mortalities: Methodological Studies of Demographic Crises in the Past (Liège, 1979), pp. 283-94.



30. Andrew Appleby, 'Diet in Sixteenth-Century England: Sources, Problems, Possibilities,' in C. Webster, ed., Health, Medicine and Mortality in the Sixteenth Century, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979, pp. 97-116.



* 31. Michael Flinn, 'Plague in Europe and the Mediterranean Countries,' Journal of European Economic History, 8 (1979), 131-48.  A review article of Biraben (1975-76).



32. Andrew Appleby, 'Epidemics and Famine in the Little Ice Age,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 10 (1980), 643-63.



* 33. Andrew Appleby, 'The Disappearance of the Plague:  A Continuing Puzzle,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 33 (1980), 161-73.



* 34. Wilhelm Abel, Agricultural Fluctuations in Europe from the Thirteenth to the Twentieth Centuries (trans. Olive Ordish, London, 1980), Chapter 4:  'Farming and the Standard of Living in the Sixteenth Century,' pp. 99-146.



* 35. Robert Rotberg and Theodore K. Rabb, eds., Climate and History: Studies in Interdisciplinary History: special issue of Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 10 (Spring 1980), No. 4. Reissued in book form (Princeton, 1981):



(a) Jan De Vries, 'Measuring the Impact of Climate on History,' pp. 19-50.



(b) Andrew Appleby, 'Epidemics and Famine in the Little Ice Age,' pp. 63-84.



(c) Christian Pfister, 'The Little Ice Age:  Thermal and Wetness Indices for Central Europe,' pp. 85-116.



(d) John Eddy, 'Climate and the Role of the Sun,' pp. 145-68.



36. Paul Slack, 'The Disappearance of the Plague:  An Alternative View,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 34 (1981), 469-76.



37. Roger Finlay, 'Natural Decrease in Early Modern Cities,' and:



Allan Sharlin, 'Natural Decrease in Early Modern Cities: A Rejoinder,' both in:



Past and Present, No. 92 (Aug. 1981), 169-74, and 175-80.



* 38. J.L. Anderson, 'Climate Change in European Economic History,' Research in Economic History, 6 (1981), 1-34.



39. Robert S. Gottfried, The Black Death: Natural and Human Disaster in Medieval Europe (New York and London, 1983). To be used with care.



40. T. S. McKeown, 'Food, Infection, and Population,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 14 (1983), 227-47.



41. Stephen J. Kunitz, 'Speculations on the European Mortality Decline,' The Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 36 (Aug. 1983), 349-64.



42. John D. Post, 'Climatic Change and Historical Discontinuity,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 14 (Summer 1983), 153-60. [A review article].



43. John D. Post, 'Climatic Variability and the European Mortality Wave of the Early 1740s,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 15 (Summer 1984), 1-30.



44. John D. Post, Food Shortage, Climatic Variability, and Epidemic Disease in Preindustrial Europe: The Mortality Peak in the 1740s (Ithaca, 1985).



45. Paul Slack, The Impact of Plague in Tudor and Stuart England (London, 1985).



46. Stephen R. Ell, 'Iron in Two Seventeenth-Century Plague Epidemics,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 15 (Winter 1985), 445-57.



47. John Komlos, 'Stature and Nutrition in the Habsburg Monarchy: The Standard of Living and Economic Development in the Eighteenth Century,' American Historical Review, 90 (1985), 1149 - 61.



48. Robert I. Rotberg and Theodore K. Rabb, eds., Hunger and History: The Impact of Changing Food Production and Consumption Patterns on Society (Cambridge University Press, 1985).



49. James Riley and George Alter, 'Mortality and Morbidity: Measuring Ill Health Across Time,' in Robert Fogel, ed., Long-Term Changes in Nutrition and the Standard of Living, Ninth International Economic History Congress (Bern, 1986), pp. 97 - 106.



50. David E. Davis, 'The Scarcity of Rats and the Black Death: An Ecological History,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 16 (Winter 1986), 455-70.



51. James Riley, 'Disease Without Death: New Sources for a History of Sickness,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 17 (Winter 1987), 537-63.



52. H. H. Lamb, Weather, Climate, and Human Affairs (London, 1988); reissued with some revisions as H.H. Lamb, Climate, History and the Modern World, 2nd edn. (London: Routledge, 1995).



53. J. M. Grove, The Little Ice Age (London, Methuen, 1988).



54. John Walter and Roger Schofield, eds., Famine, Disease, and the Social Order in Early Modern Society (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989).



(a) John Walter and Roger Schofield, 'Famine, Disease and Crisis Mortality in Early Modern Society,' pp. 1 - 73.



(b) John Walter, 'The Social Economy of Dearth in Early Modern England,' pp. 75 - 128.



(c) Keith Wrightson and David Levine, 'Death in Whickham,' pp. 129 - 65.



(d) Paul Slack, 'The Response to Plague in Early Modern England: Public Policies and their Consequences,' pp. 167 - 87.



(e) Jacques Dupâquier, 'Demographic Crises and Subsistence Crises in France, 1650 - 1725,' pp. 189 - 199.



(f) David R. Weir, 'Markets and Mortality in France, 1600 - 1789,' pp. 201 - 34.



(g) E. A. Wrigley, 'Some Reflections on Corn Yields and Prices in Pre-Industrial Economies,' pp. 235 - 78.



(h) Roger Schofield, 'Family Structure, Demographic Behaviour, and Economic Growth,' pp. 279 - 304.



55. George Grantham, 'Jean Meuvret and the Subsistence Problem in Early Modern France,' Journal of Economic History, 49 (March 1989), 184 - 200.



56. Mary Kilbourne Matossian, Poisons of the Past: Molds, Epidemics, and History (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1989).



57. Mark Overton, 'Weather and Agricultural Change in England, 1660-1739,' Agricultural History, 63 (1989), 77-88.



58. John Komlos, Nutrition and Economic Development in the Eighteenth-Century Habsburg Monarchy: An Anthropometric History (Princeton, 1989).



59. John Komlos, 'Height and Social Status in Eighteenth-Century Germany,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 20 (Spring 1990), 607 - 22. For methodology and comparative analysis.



60. James C. Riley, 'Working Health Time: A Comparison of Preindustrial, Industrial, and Postindustrial Experience in Life and Health,' Explorations in Economic History, 28 (April 1991), 169 - 91.



61. Massimo Livi-Bacci, Population and Nutrition: An Essay on European Demographic History, trans. by Tania Croft-Murray (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991).



62. Patrick R. Galloway, 'Secular Changes in the Short-Term Preventive, Positive, and Temperature Checks to Population Growth in Europe, 1460 to 1909,' Climatic Change, 26:1 (Jan. 1994), 3-63.



63. H.H. Lamb, Climate, History and the Modern World, 2nd edn. (London: Routledge, 1995).



64. Walter Bauernfeind and Ulrich Woitek, 'Agrarian Cycles in Germany, 1339 - 1670: A Spectral Analysis of Grain Prices and Output in Nuremberg,' Explorations in Economic History, 33:4 (Oct. 1996), 459-78.



65. Susan Scott, S.R. Duncan, and C.J. Duncan, 'The Origins, Interactions and Causes of the Cycles in Grain Prices in England, 1450 - 1812,' Agricultural History Review, 46:1 (1998), 1 - 14.



66. Mary J. Dobson, Contours of Death and Disease in Early Modern England, Cambridge Studies in Population, Economy and Society in Past Time no. 29 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1998).





F. The Hamilton Thesis on 'Profit Inflation':  Money and Real Wages, Industrial Prices and Industrialization, Consumption, and Living Standards



1. J. E. Thorold Rogers, History of Agriculture and Prices in England, Vol. IV: 1401-1583 (1882).  The original and still classic study on English prices and wages; but to be used with some care, because of his sampling methods.



* 2. Earl Hamilton, 'American Treasure and Andalusian Prices, 1503-1660: A Study in the Spanish Price Revolution,' Journal of Economic and Business History, 1 (1928), reprinted in P.H. Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England (London, 1971), pp. 147-81.



* 3. Earl J. Hamilton, 'American Treasure and the Rise of Capitalism, 1500-1700,' Economica, 27 (Nov. 1929), 338-57.



4. Earl Hamilton, American Treasure and the Price Revolution in Spain, 1501-1650 (Cambridge, Mass., 1934; reissued 1965). See especially Chapter XII: 'Wages: Money and Real,' pp. 262-82; and Chapter XIII: 'Why Prices Rose,' pp. 283-308. See also the Appendices (pp. 309-403), with statistical tables on prices and wages.



* 5. John U. Nef, 'Prices and Industrial Capitalism in France and England, 1540-1640,' Economic History Review, 1st ser. 7 (1937), reprinted in both:



(a) E.M. Carus-Wilson, ed., Essays in Economic History, Vol. I (London, 1954), pp. 108-34.



(b) Frederic Lane and Jellie Riemersma, eds., Enterprise and Securlar Change (London, 1953), pp. 292-321.



Inspired by and written in opposition to the publications of Hamilton, above.



6. William H. Beveridge, ed., Prices and Wages in England, Vol. I: The Mercantile Era (London, 1939; reissued 1965). Note:  no other volumes in this proposed series have ever been issued.  Many of the price series in Vol. I commence after the 16th century. The prices and wages given here are much more reliable than those in Thorold Rogers.



** 7. E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila V. Hopkins, 'Seven Centuries of Building Wages,' Economica, 22 (August 1955), reprinted in:



a) E.M. Carus-Wilson, ed., Essays in Economic History, Vol. II (London, 1962), pp. 168-78.



b) E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila V. Hopkins, A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London, 1981).



8. E.H. Phelps Brown and S.V. Hopkins, 'Seven Centuries of the Prices of Consumables Compared with Builders' Wage-Rates,' Economica, 23 (Nov. 1956), reprinted in the following:



a) E.M. Carus-Wilson, ed., Essays in Economic History, Vol. II (London, 1962), pp. 179-96;



b) Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution (London, 1971), pp. 18-41.



c) E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila V. Hopkins, A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London, 1981), pp. 13-59, containing additional statistical appendices not provided in the original publication, or in earlier reprints.



** 9. David Felix, 'Profit Inflation and Industrial Growth:  The Historic Record and Contemporary Analogies,' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70 (1956), 441-63, reprinted in Roderick Floud, ed., Essays in Quantitative Economic History (Oxford, 1974), pp. 133-51.  An attack on Hamilton, while also modifying Nef.



** 10. E.H. Phelps Brown and S.V. Hopkins, 'Wage-Rates and Prices: Evidence of Population Pressure in the Sixteenth Century,' Economica, 24 (Nov. 1957), 289-305. Reprinted in E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila V. Hopkins, A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London, 1981).



11. E.H. Phelps Brown and S.V. Hopkins, 'Builders' Wage Rates, Prices, and Population:  Some Further Evidence,' Economica, 26 (Feb. 1959), 18-38. Reprinted in E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila V. Hopkins, A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London, 1981).



12. E.H. Phelps Brown and S.V. Hopkins, 'Seven Centuries of Wages and Prices: Some Earlier Estimates,' Economica, 28 (Feb. 1961). Reprinted in E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila V. Hopkins, A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London, 1981).



13. J.H. Elliott, 'The Decline of Spain,' Past & Present, no. 20 (1961): in part a critique of the Hamilton thesis, reprinted in both:



(a) T. Aston, ed., Crisis in Europe, 1560-1660 (1965), pp. 167-94.



(b) Carlo Cipolla, ed., Economic Decline of Empires (1970), pp. 121-67.



* 14. Herman Van der Wee, Growth of the Antwerp Market and the European Economy, 14th to 16th Centuries, 3 Vols. (The Hague, 1963). Vol. I:  Statistics; Vol. II:  Interpretation, 374-427; and Vol. III: Graphs.



15. J.H. Elliott, Imperial Spain, 1469-1716 (1964), Chapters 7-10. Again relevant to the Hamilton thesis, insofar as Hamilton based his thesis largely on Spanish data. See Elliott (1961).



* 16. J.D. Gould, 'The Price Revolution Reconsidered,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 17 (1964-5), 249-66; reprinted in Peter Ramsey, ed.,  Price-Revolution in Sixteenth-Century England (London, 1971), pp. 91-116.



17. Peter Bowden, 'Agricultural Prices, Farm Profits, and Rents,' in Joan Thirsk, ed., The Agrarian History of England and Wales, IV: 1500-1640 (Cambridge, 1967), pp. 593-695. This has now been reprinted (and extended up to 1750) in:



Peter Bowden, ed., Economic Change: Wages, Profits, and Rents, 1500 - 1750 (Cambridge University Press, 1990).



* 18. Charles Verlinden, J. Craeybecks, E. Scholliers, 'Price and Wage Movements in Belgium in the Sixteenth Century,' in Peter Burke, ed., Economy and Society in Early Modern Europe (London, 1972), pp. 55-84.



19. W.E. Minchinton, ed., Wage Regulation in Pre-Industrial England (New York, 1972), with studies by Minchinton, Tawney, and Kelsall.  See expecially pp. 78-92 (Tawney), 159-76 (Kelsall).



20. R.D. Lee, 'Population in Pre-Industrial England: An Econometric Analysis,' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 86 (1973), 581-607. Includes an analysis of real wages.



21. Robert Doughty, 'Industrial Prices and Inflation in Southern England, 1401-1640,' Explorations in Economic History, 12 (1975), 177-92.



22. John Munro, 'The Purchasing Power of Coins and of Wages in England and the Low Countries from 1500 to 1514,' in R.A.B. Mynors, et al, eds., The Correspondence of Erasmus, Vol. II: A.D. 1501-1514 (Toronto, 1975), pp. 307-45.



** 23. Herman Van der Wee, 'Prices and Wages as Development Variables: A Comparison between England and the Southern Netherlands, 1400-1700,' Acta Historiae Neerlandicae, 10 (1978), 58-78.



24. Jan De Vries, 'An Inquiry into the Behaviour of Wages in the Dutch Republic and the Southern Netherlands, 1580-1800,' Acta Historiae Neerlandicae, 10 (1978), 79-97.



25. Wilhelm Abel, Agricultural Fluctuations in Europe from the Thirteenth to the Twentieth Centuries, trans. by Olive Ordish (London, 1980), Chapter 4: 'Farming and the Standard of Living in the Sixteenth Century,' pp. 99-146.



26. Murat Cizakca, 'Price History and the Bursa Silk Industry: A Study in Ottoman Industrial Decline, 1550-1650,' Journal of Economic History, 40 (Sept. 1980), 533-50.



* 27. David Loschky, 'Seven Centuries of Real Income per Worker Reconsidered,' Economica, 47 (1980), 459 - 65.



* 28. Donald Woodward, 'Wage Rates and Living Standards in Pre-Industrial England,' Past and Present, No. 91 (May 1981), 28-46.



** 29. Peter Lindert, 'English Living Standards, Population Growth, and Wrigley-Schofield,' Explorations in Economic History, 20:2 (April 1983), 131-55.



30. Martha Olney, 'Fertility and the Standard of Living in Early-Modern England: In Consideration of Wrigley and Schofield,' Journal of Economic History, 43 (Mar. 1983), 71-88.



31. Carole Shammas, 'Food Expenditures and Economic Well Being in Early Modern England,' The Journal of Economic History, 43 (Mar. 1983), 89-100.



* 32. Roger Schofield, 'The Impact of Scarcity and Plenty on Population Change in England, 1541-1871,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 14 (Autumn 1983), 165-91.



* 33. Peter Lindert, 'English Population, Wages, and Prices:  1541-1913,' Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 15:4 (Spring 1985), 609-34.



* 34. E. Schokkaert and Herman Van der Wee, 'A Quantitative Study of Food Consumption in the Low Countries During the Sixteenth Century,' Journal of European Economic History, 17 (Spring 1988), 131 - 58.



35. P. Galloway, 'Basic patterns in Annual Variations in Fertility, Nuptiality, Mortality, and Prices in Pre-Industrial Europe,' Population Studies, 42 (1988), 275-304.



36. Steve Rappaport, Worlds Within Worlds: Structures of Life in Sixteenth-Century London (Cambridge University Press, 1989).



37. Henry Phelps Brown, 'Gregory King's Notebook and the Phelps Brown-Hopkins Price Index,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 43 (Feb. 1990), 94 - 103.



* 38. David Loschky, 'New Perspectives on Seven Centuries of Real Wages,' Journal of European Economic History, 21:1 (Spring 1992), 169 - 82.



39. Jan de Vries, 'An Employer's Guide to Wages and Working Conditions in the Netherlands, 1450 - 1850,' in Carol S. Leonard and Boris N. Mironov, eds., Hours of Work and Means of Payment: the Evolution of Conventions in Pre-Industrial Europe/Horaires de travail et modes de paiement: l'évolution des conventions dans l'Europe pré-industrielle, Proceedings of the Eleventh International Economic History Congress, Milan, September 1994, Session B.3b (Milan: Università Bocconi, 1994), pp. 47-64.



40. Donald Woodward, 'The Means of Payments and Hours of Work in Early Modern England,' in Carol S. Leonard and Boris N. Mironov, eds., Hours of Work and Means of Payment: the Evolution of Conventions in Pre-Industrial Europe/Horaires de travail et modes de paiement: l'évolution des conventions dans l'Europe pré-industrielle, Proceedings of the Eleventh International Economic History Congress, Milan, September 1994, Session B.3b (Milan: Università Bocconi, 1994), pp. 11-22.



41. Donald Woodward, Men at Work: Labourers and Building Craftsmen in the Towns of Northern England, 1450 - 1750, Cambridge Studies in Population, Economy and Society in Past Time vol. 26 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995).





G. Poverty and Vagrancy in Tudor - Stuart England



1. Donald C. Coleman, 'Labour in the English Economy of the Seventeenth Century,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 8 (1956), reprinted in E.M. Carus-Wilson, ed., Essays in Economic History, Vol. II (London, 1962), pp. 291-308.



* 2. John Pound, Poverty and Vagrancy in Tudor England (1971), Chapters 1 and 2.



3. Peter Clark and Paul Slack, eds., Crisis and Order in English Towns, 1500-1700 (London, 1972), especially P. Clark, 'The Migrant in Kentish Towns, 1580-1640.'



4. W.E. Minchinton, ed., Wage Regulation in Pre-Industrial England (New York, 1972).  Essays by Tawney, Minchinton, and Kelsall, especially.



5. Paul Slack, 'Vagrants and Vagrancy in England, 1598-1664,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 27 (1974), 360-79.



6. A.L. Beier, 'Vagrants and the Social Order in Elizabethan England,' Past and Present, No. 64 (1974), 3-29.



7. Andrew Appleby, 'Agrarian Capitalism or Seigneurial Reaction? The North West of England, 1500 - 1700,' American Historical Review, 80 (June 1975), 574-94.



8. Andrew Appleby, 'Common Land and Peasant Unrest in Sixteenth-Century England,' Peasant Studies Newsletter, 4 (July 1975), 20-23.



9. John Pound, 'Vagrants and the Social Order in Elizabethan England,' with 'Rejoinder' by A. L. Beier, Past and Present, No. 71 (1976), 126-30.



10. Peter Clark, 'Popular Protest and Disturbances in Kent, 1558-1640,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 29 (1976), 365-82.



11. Peter Clark and Paul Slack, English Towns in Transition, 1500-1700 (Oxford, 1976), Chapters 6-8, pp. 54-96.



12. Willem P. Blockmans and Walter Prevenier, 'Poverty in Flanders and Brabant from the Fourteenth to the Mid-Sixteenth Century: Sources and Problems,' Acta Historiae Neerlandicae, 10 (1977), 20-57.



13. Catherina Lis and Hugo Soly, Poverty and Capitalism in Pre-Industrial Europe (1979), Chapter 3 (1450-1630).  A neo-Marxian analysis, devoted principally to England and the Low Countries. 



14. Buchanan Sharp, In Contempt of All Authority:  Rural Artisans and Riot in the West of England, 1586-1600 (Berkeley, 1980).



15. C.G.A. Clay, Economic Expansion and Social Change: England 1500-1700, 2 vols. (Cambridge, 1984), Vol. I: People, Land and Towns, Chapter 7, 'Society and the Poor,' pp. 214-36.



16. A. L. Beier, Masterless Men: The Vagrancy Problem in England, 1560 - 1640 (New York, 1985).



* 17. Paul Slack, Poverty and Policy in Tudor and Stuart England (London, 1988).



18. Paul Slack, The English Poor Law, 1531 - 1782, Studies in Economic and Social History (London: Macmillan Press, 1990).



19. Alan Dyer, Decline and Growth in British Towns, 1400 - 1600, Studies in Economic and Social History (London: Macmillan Press, 1991).







H. Statistical Sources on Population, Wages, and Prices



1. J.E. Thorold Rogers, History of Agriculture and Prices in England, Vol. IV: 1401-1583 (Oxford, 1882).  Use with care.



2. 2. Georges d'Avenel, Histoire économique de la propriété, des salaires, des denrées, et tous les prix en général, depuis l'an 1200 jusqu'au l'an 1800, 7 vols. (Paris, 1894-1926). Use with caution.



3. Earl J. Hamilton, American Treasure and the Price Revolution in Spain 1501-1650 (Cambridge, Mass., 1934; reissued in 1965). Various statistical appendices of considerable importance.



4. William H. Beveridge, ed., Prices and Wages in England, Vol. I: The Mercantile Era (London, 1939; reissued 1965).

Note: No other volumes of this proposed set have been issued.  In this Volume I, many price series commence after the 16th century.



** 5. Henry Phelps Brown and Sheila Hopkins: price series in the following articles:



(a) 'Seven Centuries of Building Wages,' Economica, 22 (1955).



(b) 'Seven Centuries of the Prices of Consumables, compared with Builders' Wage Rates,' Economica, 23 (1956) [reprinted in E.M. Carus-Wilson, ed., Essays in Economic History, Vol. II (1962), pp. 179-96; and also in Peter Ramsey, ed., The Price Revolution (1971), 18-42].



* (c) 'Wage Rates and Prices: Evidence for Population Pressure in the Sixteenth Century,' Economica, 24 (1957), 289-306.



(d) 'Builders' Wage-Rates, Prices and Population: Some Further Evidence,' Economica, 26 (1959).



(e) 'Seven Centuries of Wages and Prices: Some Earlier Estimates,' Economics, 28 (1961).



All of the above have been reissued in their book of reprinted articles: A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London, 1981).



6. Herman Van der Wee, Growth of the Antwerp Market and the European Economy, Fourteenth to Sixteenth Centuries, 3 vols. (The Hague, 1963), Vol. I: Statistics; Vol. III: Graphs.  See also Vol. II: Interpretation, Part II, chapter 6: 'Price Trends,' pp. 407-26.



7. Peter Bowden, 'Agricultural Prices, Farm Profits, and Rents,' in Joan Thirsk, ed., The Agrarian History of England and Wales, IV: 1500-1640 (Cambridge, 1967), pp. 593-695. This has now been reprinted (and extended up to 1750) in:



Peter Bowden, ed., Economic Change: Wages, Profits, and Rents, 1500 - 1750 (Cambridge University Press, 1990).



8. Charles Verlinden, J. Craeybacks, E. Scholliers, 'Price and Wage Movements in Belgium in the Sixteenth Century,' in Peter Burke, ed., Economy and Society in Early Modern Europe (1972), 55-84.



9. Robert Doughty, 'Industrial Prices and Inflation in Southern England, 1401-1640,' Explorations in Economic History, 11 (1975), 177-92.



10. Herman Van der Wee, 'Prices and Wages as Development Variables: A Comparison Between England and the Southern Netherlands, 1400-1700,' Acta Historiae Neerlandicae, 10 (1978), 58-78. English translation of his 'Prijzen en lonen als ontwikkelingsvariabelen: Een vergelijkend onderzoek tussen Engeland en de Zuidelijke Nederlanden, 1400 - 1700,' in Album offert à Charles Verlinden à l'occasion de ses trente ans de professoriat (Ghent, 1975), pp. 413-35. Only the Dutch version contains the specific annual data in tabular form.



QUESTIONS



1. What were the basic causes of European inflation in the sixteenth and early seventeenth centuries: monetary, or 'real' or some combination of the two?  Be sure to understand the difference between relative price changes and changes in the level of prices.



2. On the monetary side: how much importance can you attribute to the influx and distribution of Central European silver (from ca. 1460 to ca. 1530), American silver (from ca. 1530), European coinage debasements, dishoardings and changes in the velocity of coinage circulation, to the expanded use of credit, and to government borrowings and expenditures?



3. If American treasure is seen as the major monetary factor by the mid-16th century, as many argue, how did the silver from the mines of Mexico and Peru get distributed to the various European countries -- and from one country to another?



4. On the 'real side', how much of the inflation may be attributed to the growth of population (demographic pressures): in particular to the rapid growth in demand for such commodities as grain, lumber, metals, wood, and fuels?  Why would supply not keep pace with such demands?  Can increases in the prices of specific commodities be termed 'inflationary'?  Or can demographic and other such 'real factors account for no more than relative price changes?  Are the 'monetary' and 'real' arguments contradictory, mutually exclusive, or complementary?



5. How useful an analytical tool is the Fisher Identity [M.V = P.T] for delineating and explaining the processes of inflation?  How useful is the Cambridge 'cash balances' approach: M = k.P.T? How has Friedman and his school modified the modern quantity theory of money? How useful in turn is Keynesian economics in explaining the 16th-Century Price Revolution?  (A question that should not be attempted by first-year students).



6. Why did the degree or rate of inflation and its consequences differ from one European country to another: Spain, France, Italy, England, the Low Countries, Scandinavia, etc.?



7. How does the analysis of the Sixteenth-Century 'Price Revolution' as found in your readings correspond to the analyses of our current inflation -- both in the press, and in economics texts?  Can one talk about 'cost push' and 'demand pull' forces in the 16th Century?  (See also question 5).



8. What is Hamilton's thesis of 'profit inflation'?  Why did he think that the monetary inflation of the sixteenth century contributed to European industrialization, to the growth of larger-scale forms of industrial capitalism in particular?  How has his thesis been challenged by later critics, such as Nef and Felix?



9. Apart from Hamilton's thesis, how much did inflation stimulate production, trade, and investment in Europe, England in particular, between 1540 and 1640? To what extent did inflation distort and damage the economic structure of some countries, hindering their economic development (e.g. Spain)?



10. To what extent, and under what circumstances, can inflation 'cheapen' the factor costs of production: of labour, land, and capital?



11. What were the social consequences of the Price Revolution: what social groups gained, and which ones lost by inflation?



12. How and why did the inflation of the 'Price Revolution' era come to an end in the course of the 17th century? Why did almost a century of either stable or falling prices, of deflation, ensue, to the eve of the modern Industrial Revolution? What role did monetary and real (demographic) factors play in that deflation, or secular downswing in the general price level? What were the economic and social consequences of that deflation.



Note: more consideration to such questions will be given in the topic on the 'General Crisis of the Seventeenth Century.'

Table 1. 



Price Levels and Price Trends in England, 1450-1749 Mean Price Indices* and Mean Annual Rates of Price Changes, for 25-Year Periods. 



Mean of Price Indices for 1451-1475 = 100 (Base)*



Quarter Mean Price Mean Annual Standard Coefficient

Century Index:* Percentage Deviation of Variation

1451-75=100 Change in (s.d.) (s.d./Mean)

Price Index



1450-74 101.4 +0.08% 7.68 7.6



1475-99 104.6 +0.06% 18.52 17.7



1500-24 115.5 +1.47% 19.21 16.6



1525-49 168.8 +1.56% 29.57 17.5



1550-74 287.2 +0.20% 41.45 14.4



1575-99 401.6 +2.26% 94.71 23.6



1600-24 505.3 +0.69% 47.94 9.5



1625-49 595.6 +0.95% 81.48 13.7



1650-74 631.6 -0.42% 72.26 11.4



1675-99 616.7 +0.48% 74.01 12.0



1700-24 617.8 -0.09% 81.03 13.1



1725-49 587.6 -0.17% 51.00 8.7



* The Phelps Brown and Hopkins Price Index. See Sources for Table 2.

Table 2.



Price-Relatives of Charcoal, Timber, Industrial Products, Grains, and the Phelps-Brown & Hopkins 'Basket of Consumables' Index in Decennial Averages, 1530-9 to 1640-9



Average of 1530-9 = base 100



Decade Charcoal Timber Industrial Grains: Rye, Basket (Cambridge) (National) Products Wheat, Oats, of

Barley Cons-

umables





1530-9 100 100 100 100 100



1540-9 122 115 115 116 124



1550-9 203 174 169 216 186



1560-9 217 178 198 196 180



1570-9 230 206 203 230 203



1580-9 270 247 209 282 230



1590-9 287 289 216 366 305



1600-9 320 335 233 348 306



1610-9 359 397 249 407 341



1620-9 345 450 240 399 333



1630-9 378 475 255 491 397



1640-9 535 524 278 488 398



Table 2, continued:



Weighting of the Phelps Brown and Hopkins Price Index:



Farinaceous Foods (Grains) 20.0%



Meat and Fish 25.0%



Butter and Cheese 12.5%



Drink (Malt, Hops, etc.) 22.5%



Subtotal: Food 80.0%



Fuel and Light 7.5%



Textiles 12.5%



Subtotal: Industrial Goods 20.0%

Total 100.0%





Sources:



(a) Charcoal:  J.E. Thorold Rogers, History of Agriculture and Prices in England, IV: (1401-1582), 383-7; V (1583-1702), 398-402.



(b) Timber, industrial products, grains: 

Peter Bowden, 'Agricultural Prices: Statistical Appendix,' in Joan Thirsk, ed., Agrarian History of England and Wales, IV: 1500-1640 (1967), Table XIII, 862.



(c) 'Basket of Consumables': 



E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila Hopkins, 'Seven Centuries of the Prices of Consumables,' in E.M. Carus-Wilson, ed., Essays in Economic History, Vol. II (1962), pp. 194-95; and E.H. Phelps Brown and Sheila Hopkins, A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London, 1981).





Table 3. Composite Price Indices of Flanders, Brabant, England, Spain (Castile)
in quinquennial means: 1401-05 to 1595-1600
Indices: mean of 1451-75 = 100; and mean of 1501-10 = 100
Years FLANDERS BRABANT ENGLAND SPAIN BRABANT ENGLAND
5 yr means 1451-75=100 1451-75=100 1451-75=100 1501-10=100 1501-10=100 1501-10=100
1401-05 87.57 64.27 114.84 53.50 109.08
1406-10 103.35 68.55 111.23 57.07 105.65
1411-15 95.39 73.97 108.10 61.58 102.68
1416-20 107.21 80.54 113.40 67.05 107.71
1421-25 110.86 90.19 101.48 75.08 96.38
1426-30 119.24 100.15 112.27 83.37 106.63
1431-35 124.57 102.76 108.48 85.54 103.03
1436-40 141.73 125.43 122.01 104.42 115.89
1441-45 114.09 105.48 92.52 87.81 87.88
1446-50 109.55 99.58 100.90 82.89 95.84
1451-55 100.47 98.54 100.25 82.03 95.22
1456-60 117.68 114.58 97.06 95.38 92.19
1461-65 89.48 91.07 102.73 75.81 97.58
1466-70 95.50 96.95 106.74 80.71 101.39
1471-75 96.87 98.85 97.76 82.29 92.85
1476-80 115.04 120.69 90.06 100.47 85.54
1481-85 157.75 155.75 127.38 129.66 120.99
1486-90 190.08 174.10 102.77 144.93 97.61
1491-95 153.43 133.22 106.80 110.90 101.44
1496-00 101.00 115.35 96.70 96.03 91.85
1501-05 125.45 106.79 92.43 104.43 101.43
1506-10 114.80 103.77 107.57 95.57 98.57
1511-15 137.90 108.52 98.98 114.80 103.08
1516-20 150.26 120.44 104.28 125.09 114.39
1521-25 179.94 146.05 122.14 149.79 138.72
1526-30 178.52 157.34 131.57 148.61 149.45
1531-35 173.99 155.64 132.44 144.84 147.83
1536-40 185.64 152.33 138.73 154.54 144.69
1541-45 208.34 176.54 147.90 173.44 167.69
1546-50 199.42 229.64 165.89 166.01 218.12
1551-55 260.52 275.45 176.02 216.87 261.63
1556-60 300.72 315.85 194.00 250.34 300.00
1561-65 313.94 289.31 223.43 261.34 274.79
1566-70 318.29 292.29 227.73 264.96 277.63
1571-75 423.43 296.09 246.76 352.49 281.24
1576-80 480.72 336.50 247.81 400.18 319.61
1581-85 617.42 337.52 269.07 513.98 320.58
1586-90 799.75 387.17 274.97 665.77 367.74
1591-95 688.33 416.01 284.42 573.01 395.14
1596-00 752.95 540.54 320.97 626.80 513.42
1601-05 612.32 461.26 349.92 509.74 438.12
1606-10 615.89 497.00 330.11 512.71 472.06
1611-15 636.13 532.84 316.81 529.56 506.11
1616-20 626.96 520.39 328.56 521.92 494.28
1621-25 815.75 529.72 317.85 679.08 503.14
1626-30 919.65 525.06 328.04 765.57 498.72
1631-35 908.53 608.38 329.90 756.32 577.86
1636-40 967.67 615.12 323.47 805.55 584.26
1641-45 987.17 560.50 313.49 821.78 532.37
1646-50 1015.14 734.39 343.36 845.07 697.54
Sources:
Flanders: John Munro, 'Mint Outputs, Money, and Prices in Late-Medieval England and the Low Countries,' in Münzprägung, Geldumlauf, und Wechselkurse/ Minting, Monetary Circulation, and Exchange

Rates: Akten des 8th International Economic History Congress, ed. Eddy Van Cauwenberghe

and Franz Irsigler, Trierer Historische Forschungen, vol. 7 (Trier, 1984), pp. 31-122.

Brabant: Herman Van der Wee, 'Prijzen en lonen als ontwikkelingsvariabelen: Een vergelijkend

onderzoek tussen Engeland en de Zuidelijke Nederlanden, 1400-1700,' in Album

aangeboden aan Charles Verlinden ter gelegenheid van zijn dertig jaar professoraat (Gent: 1975), pp. 413-47.

England: Henry Phelps Brown; and Sheila V. Hopkins, 'Seven Centuries of the Prices of Consumables

Compared with Builders' Wage Rates,' Economica, 23 (1956); reprinted (with previously

unpublished appendices) in their A Perspective of Wages and Prices (London and

New York, 1981) pp. 13-59.

Spain: Earl J. Hamilton, American Treasure and the Price Revolution in Spain, 1501-1650

(Cambridge, Mass., 1934), pp.



Table 4. ENGLAND: PHELPS BROWN AND HOPKINS PRICE INDICES

Mean of 1451-75 = 100

Year Farinaceous: Meat & Butter & Drink: Malt, Fuel and Textiles Composite Nominal Real Wage Real Wage
WRB Grains, Fish Cheese Hops, Sugar, Light (Munro) Wage Index Index
Peas

Potatoes

Tea Index Master Labourer
Weight = 20.0 25.0 12.5 22.5 7.5 12.5 100.00 1451-75=100 1451-75 = 100 1451-75 = 100
1264-65 80.00 95.00 74.00 80.00 74.03 82.44 50.10 60.72 45.54
1266-70 84.00 64.10 101.60 104.80 48.40 81.25 49.79 61.82 46.37
1271-75 129.00 97.00 95.80 131.00 36.40 103.84 49.94 48.71 36.53
1276-80 102.20 99.80 102.80 118.20 36.20 96.61 50.09 51.81 38.86
1281-85 110.80 92.80 94.00 154.30 40.90 104.80 50.06 48.16 36.12
1286-90 79.20 78.40 96.80 100.40 34.80 80.52 49.97 62.93 47.20
1291-95 137.80 75.00 96.80 157.60 44.20 107.45 49.85 47.22 35.42
1296-00 107.80 89.80 95.20 138.80 60.20 102.34 49.92 49.11 36.83
1301-05 91.60 88.20 93.60 119.00 52.60 92.35 55.70 59.57 44.68
1306-10 116.80 105.40 101.70 134.80 70.60 109.81 59.64 55.24 41.43
1311-15 114.20 116.60 134.40 126.40 75.60 115.33 66.91 58.32 43.74
1316-20 189.80 127.00 142.00 238.80 68.60 161.91 66.96 44.85 33.64
1321-25 160.00 106.40 153.40 174.80 164.20 68.40 137.97 67.26 48.87 36.65
1326-30 102.20 102.60 119.00 133.40 152.20 69.40 111.07 67.04 60.82 45.61
1331-35 112.00 100.20 113.00 148.20 147.00 65.40 114.12 66.99 59.55 44.66
1336-40 85.20 88.20 112.40 97.00 149.00 65.40 94.32 59.94 64.23 48.17
1341-45 81.00 85.00 110.40 98.60 139.00 49.60 90.06 50.17 55.78 41.83
1346-50 102.00 87.80 120.20 120.00 147.00 58.40 102.70 50.12 49.14 36.85
1351-55 125.40 110.80 123.40 165.60 158.60 118.60 132.18 59.69 46.51 34.89
1356-60 116.40 102.00 130.80 141.60 165.60 160.40 129.46 75.88 59.31 50.16
1361-65 132.60 122.80 125.80 200.60 168.40 127.40 146.64 82.97 57.05 51.35
1366-70 155.00 128.00 128.40 167.20 182.40 126.00 146.10 83.15 58.13 52.32
1371-75 133.20 136.40 129.60 128.00 163.60 138.00 135.26 82.87 62.26 56.03
1376-80 96.00 105.60 118.80 113.00 162.40 100.50 110.62 82.83 77.27 69.54
1381-85 103.60 110.20 107.00 123.60 152.40 96.10 112.90 83.22 73.89 66.50
1386-90 83.20 108.40 101.80 108.40 139.00 90.00 102.53 82.90 81.31 73.18
1391-95 96.60 102.80 102.80 123.60 133.00 85.40 106.33 82.85 79.53 71.57
1396-00 106.20 106.40 114.20 127.40 124.40 85.80 110.84 83.17 75.59 68.03
1401-05 115.80 105.80 110.00 136.40 123.20 92.40 114.84 84.85 75.29 71.29
1406-10 109.20 105.60 114.20 119.80 120.20 102.00 111.23 92.97 87.56 85.89
1411-15 93.00 102.60 117.40 118.80 119.00 108.20 108.10 99.72 92.63 92.63
1416-20 116.40 103.60 115.30 126.60 111.00 104.00 113.40 100.22 89.13 89.13
1421-25 94.20 92.60 97.57 118.00 111.20 99.20 101.48 100.20 98.87 98.87
1426-30 104.60 98.80 110.42 133.60 124.60 108.40 112.27 99.89 91.00 91.00
1431-35 109.60 101.40 120.80 120.00 98.80 108.48 99.94 92.36 92.36
1436-40 146.20 106.80 141.80 114.20 98.00 122.01 99.91 85.41 85.41
1441-45 76.80 98.80 83.60 118.40 99.40 92.52 100.13 108.57 108.57
1446-50 96.00 106.20 96.40 106.80 97.40 100.90 99.86 99.23 99.23
1451-55 103.00 97.40 104.00 101.00 97.20 100.25 99.90 100.06 100.06
1456-60 93.40 100.80 90.80 100.60 100.80 97.06 100.02 103.12 103.12
1461-65 108.20 100.00 106.00 94.40 101.30 102.73 100.00 99.01 99.01
1466-70 103.80 111.80 99.40 108.60 108.40 106.74 99.97 93.72 93.72
1471-75 98.20 96.00 99.60 93.40 101.60 97.76 99.86 102.59 102.59
1476-80 106.00 79.20 83.80 92.00 107.20 90.06 99.89 111.68 111.68
1481-85 147.80 120.00 143.40 98.40 105.40 127.38 100.07 80.74 80.74
1486-90 108.00 105.80 88.80 90.20 118.00 102.77 99.72 98.06 98.06
1491-95 110.40 111.80 99.00 82.20 114.80 106.80 99.71 93.93 93.93
1496-00 100.80 95.80 91.00 83.20 111.20 96.70 99.82 103.51 103.51
1501-05 127.20 97.70 105.60 91.40 112.80 106.79 99.86 93.75 93.75
1506-10 101.80 113.50 90.60 86.20 112.00 103.77 99.96 96.39 96.39
1511-15 116.80 113.33 92.60 94.00 118.20 108.52 99.86 92.53 92.53
1516-20 120.20 126.17 120.40 97.60 117.40 120.44 99.86 83.66 83.66
1521-25 135.80 174.60 136.00 95.80 125.00 146.05 100.40 69.13 69.13
1526-30 182.40 158.00 164.00 98.20 138.80 157.34 99.97 64.27 64.27
1531-35 161.60 164.20 164.40 98.40 139.00 155.64 65.01 65.01
1536-40 159.60 168.20 141.00 99.80 145.00 152.33 71.39 65.90
1541-45 162.80 225.00 146.20 98.20 154.80 176.54 65.36 56.89
1546-50 208.60 277.80 235.00 137.60 164.40 229.64 52.82 55.11
1551-55 289.80 329.00 253.66 174.60 191.60 275.45 50.89 58.16
1556-60 324.60 309.00 430.67 201.00 184.60 315.85 53.34 59.93
1561-65 253.00 328.00 357.60 302.80 216.40 221.20 289.31 57.74 64.96
1566-70 255.00 310.20 400.50 304.00 216.40 232.40 292.29 167.00 57.03 64.16
1571-75 286.80 333.60 353.80 292.40 224.60 227.80 296.09 58.09 64.20
1576-80 386.40 346.00 352.20 363.60 237.40 232.60 336.50 56.62 57.40
1581-85 367.20 354.70 375.40 348.40 237.80 258.00 337.52 200.06 59.29 59.29
1586-90 501.00 394.80 441.60 356.20 274.00 259.00 387.17 200.57 52.53 52.53
1591-95 476.60 416.60 503.00 448.40 265.00 263.20 416.01 200.02 49.05 49.05
1596-00 738.80 462.20 527.80 689.20 288.80 276.20 540.54 200.87 37.81 37.81
1601-05 534.80 473.00 506.00 514.00 294.40 280.60 461.26 200.27 43.73 43.73
1606-10 588.60 486.80 547.20 586.00 308.00 273.80 497.00 200.69 40.47 40.47
1611-15 673.80 517.40 605.60 594.60 332.60 274.40 532.84 199.25 37.74 37.74
1616-20 614.80 537.60 606.40 563.60 339.60 279.60 520.39 199.32 38.55 38.55
1621-25 646.40 532.60 566.80 612.00 335.20 268.80 529.72 199.08 37.99 37.99
1626-30 602.60 548.40 555.20 610.60 352.40 273.80 525.06 38.94 40.75
1631-35 784.80 548.00 604.10 796.60 339.00 274.00 608.38 37.43 37.95
1636-40 742.40 581.80 637.60 796.00 363.60 281.00 615.12 40.68 40.10
1641-45 603.80 576.40 637.20 658.40 438.60 279.60 560.50 47.92 49.58
1646-50 1012.00 667.60 805.20 869.80 428.80 292.60 734.39 39.32 41.73
1651-55 608.60 691.00 667.40 670.80 456.40 306.20 601.33 49.98 50.47
1656-60 759.00 648.20 710.00 746.40 446.20 290.00 640.26 300.17 47.16 47.16
1661-65 869.40 669.00 673.20 781.20 467.60 294.80 672.97 299.81 44.82 44.82
1666-70 683.40 646.40 651.60 635.80 480.80 326.40 599.64 299.46 50.18 50.18
1671-75 771.60 602.80 657.00 682.80 465.00 320.00 615.65 298.55 49.03 49.03
1676-80 733.20 627.80 711.20 653.40 464.20 298.40 611.62 300.25 49.17 49.17
1681-85 740.00 629.00 602.80 668.60 421.80 259.80 595.14 300.29 50.54 50.54
1686-90 535.60 639.00 582.20 615.80 420.40 302.80 547.58 55.52 54.88
1691-95 743.20 667.00 651.80 603.20 482.40 288.60 604.84 52.88 51.17
1696-00 864.80 707.60 677.80 942.60 481.60 297.60 719.99 45.54 46.68
1701-05 577.60 636.00 585.00 650.60 496.60 315.00 570.65 59.95 62.27
1706-10 750.60 618.60 586.60 808.80 495.40 311.00 636.11 57.21 59.38
1711-15 788.80 667.80 667.20 867.40 511.40 311.00 680.51 367.87 54.98 56.23
1716-20 636.80 669.60 507.40 791.80 507.80 311.00 613.30 367.31 59.88 61.24
1721-25 590.40 616.60 545.20 719.20 472.20 311.00 576.49 366.55 63.81 65.26
1726-30 711.60 667.60 598.60 768.00 491.40 311.00 632.58 368.41 58.11 59.43
1731-35 506.80 576.60 540.60 674.40 483.80 311.00 539.98 70.46 71.84
1736-40 616.80 598.60 559.40 710.80 444.80 311.00 575.10 399.61 69.83 69.83
1741-45 545.40 651.40 620.00 736.00 531.00 311.00 593.73 399.18 68.32 68.32
1746-50 549.00 626.20 652.20 751.00 500.20 311.00 593.24 400.85 67.45 67.45



BASKET OF CONSUMABLES' COMMODITY PRICE INDICES Mean of 1451-75 = 100
COMMODITY ENGLAND BRABANT FLANDERS
Amount Unit Value Percent Amount Unit Value Percent Amount Unit Value in Percent
Farinaceous in d. gr. in d. gr.
Wheat 1.25 bushels 45.460 litres
Rye 1.00 bushels 126.000 litres 39.370 litres
Barley 0.50 bushels 18.180 litres
Peas 0.67 bushels 24.370 litres
Barley Malt 4.50 bushels 162.000 litres 163.660 litres
Sub-total 7.92 bushels 42.50% 288.000 litres 54.74 35.32% 291.040 litres 57.14 44.88%
Meat, Fish, Dairy
Sheep 1.50 sheep
Beef 23.500 kg
Herrings 40.00 fish 40.000 fish
Butter 10.00 lb. 4.800 kg 13.610 kg
Cheese 10.00 lb. 4.700 kg 13.610 kg
Sub-total 20.00% 60.26 38.87% 44.66 35.08%
Industrial
Charcoal 4.25 bushels 162.000 litres
Candles 2.75 lb. 1.350 kg
Lamp Oil 0.50 pint
Canvas/Linen 0.67 yard 1.800 metres
Shirting 0.50 yard
Coarse Woollens 0.33 yard 1.125 metres 1.225 metres
Sub-total 20.00% 40.01 25.81% 25.52 20.04%
TOTAL 100.00% 155.02 100.00% 127.33 100.00%




Table 5. Prices, Nominal and Real Wages in England and Brabant, 1451-55 to 1696-1700
Mean of 1451-75 = 100
Years England England England Brabant Brabant Brabant
Prices Wages Real Prices Wages Real
Index Index Wages Index Index Wages
1451-55 100.25 100.00 100.06 98.5447 100.00 101.82
1456-60 97.06 100.00 103.12 114.5774 100.00 87.74
1461-65 102.73 100.00 99.01 91.0702 100.00 110.15
1466-70 106.74 100.00 93.72 96.9534 100.00 103.52
1471-75 97.76 100.00 102.59 98.8543 100.00 101.31
1476-80 90.06 100.00 111.68 120.6929 100.00 67.50
1481-85 127.38 100.00 80.74 155.7517 107.50 62.20
1486-90 102.77 100.00 98.06 174.0982 101.67 88.73
1491-95 106.80 100.00 93.93 133.2164 102.08 81.55
1496-00 96.70 100.00 103.51 115.3515 102.08 89.19
1501-05 106.79 100.00 93.75 125.4494 112.08 81.30
1506-10 103.77 100.00 96.39 114.8011 125.00 83.37
1511-15 108.52 100.00 92.53 137.9040 126.67 71.55
1516-20 120.44 100.00 83.66 150.2641 128.75 72.31
1521-25 146.05 100.00 69.13 179.9384 125.42 72.96
1526-30 157.34 100.00 64.27 178.5192 143.33 77.48
1531-35 155.64 100.00 65.01 173.9949 159.17 76.74
1536-40 152.33 108.33 71.39 185.6411 185.83 94.17
1541-45 176.54 115.00 65.36 208.3398 197.50 76.05
1546-50 229.64 120.00 52.82 199.4203 218.75 74.55
1551-55 275.45 140.00 50.89 260.5150 356.67 114.93
1556-60 315.85 160.00 53.34 300.7173 297.08 93.59
1561-65 289.31 166.67 57.74 313.9375 290.83 69.10
1566-70 292.29 166.67 57.03 318.2897 442.50 92.27
1571-75 296.09 170.00 58.09 423.4316 542.50 95.63
1576-80 336.50 190.00 56.62 480.7160 495.00 68.78
1581-85 337.52 200.00 59.29 617.4244 510.00 76.41
1586-90 387.17 200.00 52.53 799.7540 560.00 74.84
1591-95 416.01 200.00 49.05 688.3332 600.00 98.76
1596-00 540.54 200.00 37.81 752.9459 600.00 99.09
1601-05 461.26 200.00 43.73 612.3239 600.00 95.66
1606-10 497.00 200.00 40.47 615.8934 600.00 96.45
1611-15 532.84 200.00 37.74 636.1322 600.00 74.90
1616-20 520.39 200.00 38.55 626.9632 600.00 65.83
1621-25 529.72 200.00 37.99 815.7524 600.00 66.10
1626-30 525.06 203.33 38.94 919.6470 600.00 62.03
1631-35 608.38 226.67 37.43 908.5342 600.00 60.98
1636-40 615.12 248.33 40.68 967.6679 600.00 59.78
1641-45 560.50 268.33 47.92 987.1669 600.00 68.30
1646-50 734.39 283.33 39.32 1015.1382 600.00 71.58
1651-55 601.33 296.67 49.98 904.3282 600.00 69.45
1656-60 640.26 300.00 47.16 843.4656 600.00 81.36
1661-65 672.97 300.00 44.82 880.6145
1666-70 599.64 300.00 50.18 738.1088
1671-75 615.65 300.00 49.03 828.7059
1676-80 611.62 300.00 49.17 785.9576
1681-85 595.14 300.00 50.54 736.5519
1686-90 547.58 303.33 55.52 652.2165
1691-95 604.84 315.00 52.88 896.1570
1696-00 719.99 326.67 45.54 967.9947




N.B. The arithmetic means that compose the real wage index in this table are the means of the five years in each quinquenniums, which are calculated individually by dividing each year's nominal wage index by the composite price index for that year; they are not calculated by dividing the quinquennials mean of the nominal wage index by the quinquennials means of the price index. The latter method will produce slight differences (as the difference between arithmetic and geometric means).

Table 6.

Money Supply, Prices, and GDP in Canada, 1986 - 1995

1986 = 100



Year M1 in billions of dollars V

[Income Velocity of Money: M1]

P



Consumer Price Index

1986 = 100

y (real):

in billions of dollars

of 1986 values

Y = nominal GDP in current prices: in billions of current dollars
1986 31.46 16.13 100.0 507.30 507.30
1990 39.41 17.17 118.5 571.10 676.75
1991 40.99 16.68 125.0 546.91 683.64
1992 44.32 15.57 128.4 537.48 690.12
1993 48.32 14.75 130.5 546.25 712.86
1994 54.17 13.79 131.4 568.69 747.26
1995 57.14 13.59 134.0 579.33 776.30


Sources: Statistics Canada, CANSIM (GDP figures are income based).

Table 7. MONEY SUPPLY, PRICE LEVELS, GDP, AND INTEREST RATES IN CANADA

1993 - 1997 (PRICES: 1992 = 100)

ECONOMIC VARIABLE: IN MILLIONS 1993 1994 % Change 1995 % Change 1996 % Change 1997 % Change
M: Money Supply M1 in millions 48,500 54,476 12.32% 57,546 5.64% 63,554 10.44% 73,460 15.59%
V: Income Velocity of M1 Money Supply 14.95 13.99 -6.39% 13.89 -0.75% 12.91 -7.05% 11.64 -9.82%
P: GDP Index at market prices: 1992 = 100 101.2 102.4 1.19% 105.1 2.64% 106.6 1.43% 107.1 0.47%
Y: Gross Domestic Product at market prices 724,920 762,251 5.15% 799,129 4.84% 820,323 2.65% 855,103 4.24%
y: Real (deflated) GDP in 1992 dollars 716,324 744,386 3.92% 760,351 2.14% 769,534 1.21% 798,415 3.75%
k: k = 1/V [M1 as a % of P.y] 0.0669 0.0715 6.82% 0.0720 5.58% 0.077 38.93% 0.0859 10.89%
Money Supply: in millions of dollars
Bank notes in circulation n.a. 28,316 28,765 1.59% 29,096 1.15% 30,530 4.93%
Gross M1 48,500 54,476 12.32% 57,546 5.64% 63,554 10.44% 73,460 15.59%
M2 372,250 380,289 2.16% 395,396 3.97% 407,590 3.08% 406,214 -0.34%
M3 438,998 457,632 4.24% 479,960 4.88% 507,038 5.64% 533,488 5.22%
Exchange rate: US$ per CAD 0.7751 0.7322 -5.53% 0.7286 -0.49% 0.7334 0.66% 0.7222 -1.53%
Bank of Canada rediscount rate: in % 5.09 5.77 13.36% 7.31 26.69% 4.53 -38.03% 3.52 -22.30%
Toronto Stock Exchange 300 Index 3,904.22 4,284.06 9.73% 4,433.88 3.50% 5,268.01 18.81% 6,458.20 22.59%
Population of Canada in millions 28,946.80 29,255.60 1.07% 29,617.40 1.24% 29,969.20 1.19% 30,286.60 1.06%
Source: Statistics Canada CANSIM
http://www.statcan.ca/english/Pgdb/Economy



Table 8.

Mayhew's Estimates of Money Supplies, Velocity, Prices, and National Income

in England, 1300 - 1670



Date 1300 1470 1526 1546 1561 1600 1643 1670
Money Supply

in millions of £ sterling

0.900 0.900 1.400 1.450 1.450 3.500 10.000 12.000
Velocity (Income V) 5.178 3.889 3.571 5.517 9.310 6.286 3.500 3.407
Price Level:

PBH Index

104.8 104.6 135.1 172.3 289.3 478.3 597.8 635.7
National Income Y in millions £ st. 4.660 3.500 5.000 8.000 13.500 22.000 35.000 40.880
Population in millions

6.000 2.300 2.300 2.900 3.000 4.100 5.100 5.000


Source: Nicholas J. Mayhew, 'Population, Money Supply, and the Velocity of Circulation in England, 1300-1700,' Economic History Review, 2nd ser. 48:2 (May 1995), p. 244.





Table 9:

Investment in a Blast Smelter During Inflation



Hypothetical Example, with 5% annual inflation (compounded)





Loan Contract: £1,000 principal to be repaid in full in ten years, with annual interest payments of 10% (£100) paid each year for ten years.





YEAR INTEREST VALUE OF OUTPUT



1 £100 £500.00

2 £100 £525.00

3 £100 £551.25

4 £100 £578.81

5 £100 £607.75

6 £100 £638.14

7 £100 £670.05

8 £100 £703.55

9 £100 £738.73

10 £100 £775.66



Table 10. Imports into Seville of Spanish American Gold and Silver Bullion in pesos of 450 maravedis and in kilograms of fine metals: in

quinquennial means, 1501-05 to 1656-61

Year: Year: Public Bullion: Private Bullion: TOTAL Bullion: Mean Mean
Begin End Means in pesos Means in pesos Means in pesos Silver Imports Gold Imports
of 450 maravedis of 450 maravedis of 450 maravedis in kg in kg
1503 1505 32,405.50 91,279.60 123,685.10 517.24
1506 1510 42,770.80 120,476.50 163,247.30 682.69
1511 1515 62,647.00 176,463.70 239,110.70 999.95
1516 1520 52,043.50 146,595.80 198,639.30 830.70
1521 1525 7,030.50 19,803.50 26,834.00 3.40 111.88
1526 1530 54,414.10 153,273.30 207,687.40 26.34 865.93
1531 1535 86,472.10 243,574.10 330,046.20 5,090.79 854.41
1536 1540 270,177.00 517,401.40 787,578.40 12,147.99 2,038.86
1541 1545 151,557.70 839,243.30 990,801.00 16,815.87 2,363.40
1546 1550 318,534.30 783,207.90 1,101,742.20 18,698.76 2,628.03
1551 1555 725,701.30 1,247,404.90 1,973,106.20 33,479.21 4,707.31
1556 1560 313,699.10 1,286,100.60 1,599,799.70 27,145.03 3,816.70
1561 1565 363,906.60 1,877,600.50 2,241,507.10 83,373.92 1,019.64
1566 1570 756,948.60 2,071,294.50 2,828,243.10 105,197.84 1,286.54
1571 1575 659,732.10 1,721,589.70 2,381,321.80 91,353.22 770.06
1576 1580 1,329,935.70 2,120,452.50 3,450,388.20 132,365.17 1,115.77
1581 1585 1,510,120.80 4,364,801.60 5,874,922.40 232,207.57 1,336.21
1586 1590 1,608,642.50 3,157,883.60 4,766,526.10 188,397.97 1,084.12
1591 1595 2,004,669.70 5,032,302.80 7,036,972.50 273,704.54 1,966.28
1596 1600 2,194,863.60 4,690,836.50 6,885,700.10 267,820.77 1,924.01
1601 1605 1,303,977.10 3,576,688.50 4,880,665.60 193,590.35 1,028.81
1606 1610 1,709,935.80 4,571,105.60 6,281,041.40 249,135.90 1,324.00
1611 1615 1,442,584.30 3,463,039.80 4,905,624.10 196,820.45 795.09
1616 1620 869,557.60 5,152,934.40 6,022,492.00 241,630.75 976.10
1621 1625 978,231.20 4,423,904.50 5,402,135.70 223,022.55 404.37
1626 1630 923,760.20 4,067,145.10 4,990,905.30 206,045.26 373.59
1631 1635 946,764.90 2,475,405.90 3,422,170.80 143,003.28 126.99
1636 1640 938,260.60 2,324,659.80 3,262,920.40 136,348.64 121.09
1641 1645 928,732.40 1,824,028.10 2,752,760.50 113,889.78 167.03
1646 1650 333,022.50 2,021,086.90 2,354,109.40 97,396.41 142.84
1651 1655 447,775.60 1,010,977.80 1,458,753.40 60,685.98 64.27
1656 1660 121,304.80 550,918.30 672,223.10 27,965.33 29.62



Source:



Earl J. Hamilton, American Treasure and the Price Revolution in Spain, 1501-1650 (Cambridge, Mass. 1934), pp. 34, 42.



Bullion imports were given only in decennial means; but the values of imported treasure, for gold and silver bullion combined were given in quinquennial means; and for each decade, the proportional values for the quinquennium was used to estimated the quinquennial means of the kilograms of fine metal imported. Hamilton's research in the Seville archives concluded in 1660; and no further research has revealed estimates of treasure imports into Seville beyond 1660. But see the following note concerning the related research of Michel Morineau.



Michel Morineau, however, has provided the following decennial mean estimates of imports of Spanish American silver into Europe, converted into kilograms of fine silver: and these estimates should be treated with suspicion, since they are taken from Dutch newspaper reports, of questionable value



1661-70 10,140,000 in kilograms fine silver

1671-80 13,760,000

1681-90 10,260,000

1691-1700 13,400,000

Michel Morineau, 'D'Amsterdam à Seville: de quelle réalité l`histoire des prix est-elle le miroir?,' Annales: Economies, sociétés, civilisations, 23 (1968), 196; Michel Morineau, Incroyables gazettes et fabuleux métaux: les retours des trésors américains d'après les gazettes hollandaises (XVIe - XVIIIe siècles), Studies in Modern Capitalism (Paris: Editions de la Maison des Sciences de l'Homme; and Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1985).

Table 11. Mined Outputs of Gold and Silver from Spanish America; and Exports of Gold and Silver Bullion from Spanish America to Seville in quinquennial means, 1501-1505 to 1656-61
Potosi: Zacatecas: Sombrerete Total Known Mean Value

of

Mean Mean Silver Index Index

of

Year Silver Outputs Silver Outputs Silver Outputs Silver Mining Bullion Imports Gold

Imports

Imports Imports: Mined

Outputs

in kg. in kg. in kg. Outputs in kg in 450 maravedis in kg in kg 1591-

1600=100

1591-

1600=100

1501-05 123,685.10 517.24 0.00 0.00
1506-10 163,247.30 682.69 0.00 0.00
1511-15 239,110.70 999.95 0.00 0.00
1516-20 198,639.30 830.70 0.00 0.00
1521-25 26,834.00 111.88 3.40 0.00
1526-30 207,687.40 865.93 26.34 0.01
1531-35 330,046.20 854.41 5,090.79 1.88
1536-40 787,578.40 2,038.86 12,147.99 4.49
1541-45 990,801.00 2,363.40 16,815.87 6.21
1546-50 1,101,742.20 2,628.03 18,698.76 6.91
1551-55 64,848.88 64,848.88 1,973,106.20 4,707.31 33,479.21 12.36 31.39
1556-60 54,335.74 21,294.68 75,630.42 1,599,799.70 3,816.70 27,145.03 10.03 36.61
1561-65 56,080.38 27,761.40 83,841.77 2,241,507.10 1,019.64 83,373.92 30.79 40.59
1566-70 51,717.86 31,498.08 83,215.94 2,828,243.10 1,286.54 105,197.84 38.85 40.29
1571-75 36,439.01 35,925.21 72,364.22 2,381,321.80 770.06 91,353.22 33.74 35.03
1576-80 111,607.53 30,389.38 141,996.90 3,450,388.20 1,115.77 132,365.17 48.89 68.74
1581-85 168,398.46 27,613.05 196,011.51 5,874,922.40 1,336.21 232,207.57 85.76 94.89
1586-90 176,839.51 28,413.40 205,252.91 4,766,526.10 1,084.12 188,397.97 69.58 99.36
1591-95 192,454.49 27,002.87 219,457.36 7,036,972.50 1,966.28 273,704.54 101.09 106.24
1596-00 169,671.92 24,005.40 193,677.32 6,885,700.10 1,924.01 267,820.77 98.91 93.76
1601-05 183,470.02 29,736.38 213,206.40 4,880,665.60 1,028.81 193,590.35 71.50 103.21
1606-10 158,273.46 34,121.27 192,394.73 6,281,041.40 1,324.00 249,135.90 92.01 93.14
1611-15 161,108.67 47,517.24 208,625.91 4,905,624.10 795.09 196,820.45 72.69 101.00
1616-20 139,403.78 48,213.16 187,616.94 6,022,492.00 976.10 241,630.75 89.24 90.83
1621-25 134,795.30 55,609.74 190,405.04 5,402,135.70 404.37 223,022.55 82.37 92.18
1626-30 130,628.28 47,861.74 178,490.02 4,990,905.30 373.59 206,045.26 76.10 86.41
1631-35 124,267.78 47,934.53 172,202.31 3,422,170.80 126.99 143,003.28 52.82 83.36
1636-40 147,647.32 31,044.38 178,691.70 3,262,920.40 121.09 136,348.64 50.36 86.51
1641-45 113,646.36 28,101.07 141,747.43 2,752,760.50 167.03 113,889.78 42.06 68.62
1646-50 121,192.60 30,215.72 151,408.32 2,354,109.40 142.84 97,396.41 35.97 73.30
1651-55 99,371.13 31,046.27 130,417.40 1,458,753.40 64.27 60,685.98 22.41 63.14
1656-60 103,710.82 26,373.41 130,084.23 672,223.10 29.62 27,965.33 10.33 62.97
1661-65 78,949.36 22,584.61 101,533.96 49.15
1666-70 83,016.31 35,513.85 118,530.16 57.38
1671-75 82,017.54 50,404.29 132,421.83 64.11
1676-80 75,757.15 64,139.87 139,897.01 67.72
1681-85 88,180.87 37,823.48 30,492.83 156,497.18 75.76
1686-90 81,005.43 31,164.00 31,043.50 143,212.93 69.33
1691-95 68,181.86 31,863.18 17,500.54 117,545.58 56.90
1696-00 56,884.78 26,451.05 12,506.02 95,841.85 46.40
1701-05 43,642.72 31,719.17 6,233.96 81,595.85 39.50







Sources:



Peter J. Bakewell, 'Registered Silver Production in the Potosi District, 1550-1735,' Jahrbuch Für Geschichte: von Staat, Wirtschaft and Gesellschaft Lateinsamerikas,12 (1975), 68-103; Peter Bakewell, Silver Mining and Society in Colonial Mexico: Zacatecas, 1546 - 1700 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1971), pp. 241-50; Earl J. Hamilton, American Treasure and the Price Revolution in Spain, 1501-1650 (Cambridge, Mass. 1934), pp. 34, 42.







Outputs of the Mexican and Peruvian Silver Mines in kilograms of fine metal
in quinquennial means, 1700-04 to 1820-24
Five Year Guanjuato Guanjuato Zacatecas Zacatecas Mexico Peru
Period kg. Percent kg. Percent Total in kg Total in kg
1700-04 30,868.84 23.8 129,878.24 45,825.45
1705-09 35,661.87 24.2 147,383.35 44,210.42
1710-14 42,783.58 15.2 169,501.11 18,007.17
1715-19 56,687.56 31.2 181,945.21 36,257.76
1720-24 59,005.12 26.2 224,973.39 29,034.58
1725-29 50,438.74 18.0 224,297.68 37,018.15
1730-34 54,007.65 22.3 242,535.00 37,470.63
1735-39 45,976.52 15.3 240,807.15 34,318.63
1740-44 33,593.91 8.3 241,748.34 n.d.
1745-49 42,315.94 13.8 305,861.20 n.d.
1750-54 38,882.49 11.6 334,495.98 n.d.
1755-59 33,414.43 9.9 336,850.98 n.d.
1760-64 24,677.19 8.3 295,936.59 n.d.
1765-69 64,704 16.9 25,933.31 8.5 306,703.45 n.d.
1770-74 86,559 21.5 37,845.56 9.4 403,223.54 55,310.40
1775-79 120,570 25.1 67,168.07 14.0 479,925.27 61,745.23
1780-84 114,624 22.1 59,279.44 11.4 518,775.99 72,843.75
1785-89 112,045 22.3 54,682.45 11.4 481,873.20 79,582.12
1790-94 137,927 24.6 56,010.04 10.0 561,349.47 109,161.65
1795-99 131,020 21.9 64,987.11 10.5 619,495.09 126,354.53
1800-04 129,076 24.1 62,426.54 9.3 536,062.82 120,477.36
1805-09 143,329 23.3 113,273.93 18.5 614,067.87 106,318.22
1810-14 80,304 34.2 74,662.35 19.1 234,752.33 84,424.56
1815-19 47,458 19.7 61,609.02 25.6 240,828.26 61,405.96
1820-24 19,791 57,385.73 0.00 36,564.80








Table 13. Disposition of Public Revenues from the Viceroyalty of Peru and Mexico in

equivalent kilograms of fine silver, in decennial means, 1581-90 to 1791-1800

Decade Peru:

Total

Peru: Peru:

Remitt-ances

to Castile

in equiv.

kgs of

fine silver

Decennial

Means

Peru: Mexico:



Remittances

Mexico: TOTAL to Mexico to Percent of Mexico:
Revenues

in Lima

Share Percent to Castile in

equiv. kgs.

Percent Castile from Phillipines Mexican Total
Treasury Retained of Total of fine silver of Total Peru/Mexico in kg. fine Total to Remittances
in kg. to Castile Decennial to Castile in kg. silver silver: Decen. Phillipines in kg silver
Decennial

Means

Means Decennial Mean Means Decennial Mean
1581-90 23,107.5 3,219.8 12.2% 26,327.3
1591-00 86,097.9 40.7% 51,013.3 68.1% 23,856.3 31.9% 74,869.6 1,191.2 4.8% 25,047.5
1601-10 97,147.4 54.6% 44,091.2 61.7% 27,379.3 38.3% 71,470.5 3,003.0 9.9% 30,382.3
1611-20 88,604.9 66.2% 29,936.2 65.7% 15,604.2 34.3% 45,540.4 6,496.7 29.4% 22,100.9
1621-30 85,168.7 65.3% 29,531.5 63.6% 16,887.3 36.4% 46,418.8 9,254.5 35.4% 26,141.8
1631-40 96,329.6 53.6% 44,692.7 66.7% 22,321.1 33.3% 67,013.8 9,388.2 29.6% 31,709.3
1641-50 112,884.8 66.1% 38,230.2 83.4% 7,620.8 16.6% 45,851.0 5,640.8 42.5% 13,261.6
1651-60 81,994.4 73.2% 21,970.6 66.6% 11,035.0 33.4% 33,005.6 3,855.6 25.9% 14,890.6
1661-70 78,358.0 88.4% 9,121.4 47.2% 10,202.0 52.8% 19,323.4 3,526.2 25.7% 13,728.2
1671-80 69,653.4 92.3% 5,340.0 17.3% 25,477.0 82.7% 30,817.0 4,162.5 14.0% 29,639.5
1681-90 69,439.6 98.9% 785.7 6.1% 12,195.1 93.9% 12,980.8 4,990.0 29.0% 17,185.1
1691-00 50,117.4 95.7% 2,152.5 24.6% 6,595.8 75.4% 8,748.3 4,246.7 39.2% 10,842.5
1701-10 44,318.4 90.4% 4,238.1 24.0% 13,395.1 76.0% 17,633.2 3,192.2 19.2% 16,587.3
1711-20 24,447.0 99.2% 197.8 1.1% 18,370.0 98.9% 18,567.8 2,583.9 12.3% 20,953.9
1721-30 35,947.2 92.6% 2,647.3 14.5% 15,589.1 85.5% 18,236.4 4,829.5 23.7% 20,418.6
1731-40 30,898.0 88.5% 3,540.9 14.4% 21,114.2 85.6% 24,655.1 3,748.2 15.1% 24,862.4
1741-50 32,229.6 95.8% 1,352.2 7.8% 15,968.0 92.2% 17,320.2 4,370.5 21.5% 20,338.5
1751-60 40,000.7 5,227.2 11.6% 45,227.9
1761-70 18,564.1 4,834.2 20.7% 23,398.3
1771-80 38,572.9 7,087.4 15.5% 45,660.3
1781-90 72,305.0 5,472.8 7.0% 77,777.8
1791-00 96,606.2 11,967.4 11.0% 108,573.6





Sources:



John J. TePaske, 'New World Silver, Castile and the Philippines, 1590-1800,' in John F. Richards, ed., Precious Metals in the Later Medieval and Early Modern Worlds (Durham: Carolina Academic Press, 1983), pp. 442-4.

Table 14. 



The Role of Spanish Silver in English Silver Mint Outputs:

From the Tower Mint's 'Melting Books', in Troy Pounds Weight.



Period Covered Spanish Silver Percent Total Silver

Tower Mint's Coins: in  of Total Bullion

Melting Books Troy lb.* Bullion in Troy lb.* 





Oct. 1561 to

Dec. 1562 60,993.8 75.0 % 81,325.00



June to

Dec. 1567 7.4%



Sept. 1569 to

Feb. 1570 21,321.1 81.4 % 26,193.00



Feb. 1583 to

Nov. 1583 40,469.2 78.1 % 51,817.20



June 1584 to

Feb. 1585 40,905.8 86.3% 47,394.00



Feb. 1598 to

Jan. 1599 6,726.4 62.0% 10,849.00





* 1 Troy pound = 12 Troy ounces = 373.242 grams.

Table 15. 



The London Tower Mint under the Tudors



Average Annual Outputs of Silver and of Total Gold and Silver Coinage

in Pounds Sterling Values for Various Periods, 1485 to 1603



Period of the Silver Coin Total Coinage Silver as %

Annual Mean in £ st. in £ st. of Total



1485 - 1525 9,633.0 40,657.1 23.7 %



1526a- 1543 33,521.2 53,534.7 62.6 %



1544b- 1550* 389,211.3 576,952.4 67.5 %



1551c- 1560 22,850.0 31,670.1 72.2 %



1561d-1603 106,840.2 124,735.6 85.7 %



a Minor debasement of Nov. 1526.



b Henry VIII's drastic debasements, 1544-49.



c 1551: Coinage revaluation.



d 1561: Recoinage.



SOURCES: for Tables 4 and 5:



Christopher Challis, The Tudor Coinage (Manchester 1978); and his article 'Spanish Bullion and Monetary Inflation in England in the Later Sixteenth Century,' Journal of European Economic History, 4 (1975), 381-92.



Table 16



The Mint Outputs of England and the Low Countries, in 25-Year Totals, 1300-24 to 1575-99: in Kilograms of Pure Silver and Gold, and in Aggregate Money-of-Account Values (Pounds Sterling and Livres Gros Flemish)





Years ENGLAND LOW COUNTRIES *



(25) Silver Gold Current Silver Gold Current

kg. kg. £ sterling kg. kg. £ gros F1.



1300-24 403,029 nil 1,260,746



1325-49 37,602 3,951 291,054



1350-74 121,629 43,379 2,335,905 155,772 46,449 1,725,341



1375-99 7,462 9,594 442,228 79,172 11,940 843,621



1400-24 18,932 27,312 1,387,601 96,180 529 451,471



1425-49 87,707 6,926 738,082 103,899 17,675 1,652,668



1450-74 68,352 11,557 1,096,728 54,444 6,964 759,957



1475-99 33,655 6,767 632,349 153,645 4,624 1,750,654





Bruges and Antwerp**



1475-99 134,650 4,432 1,542,807



1500-24 59,090 18,979 1,569,081 47,789 13,768 1,728,074



1525-49 247,248 21,993 4,666,444 70,280 8,664 1,401,535



1550-74 305,288 5,356 3,580,657 280,958 12,260 4,078,004



1575-99 287,644 4,348 2,924,852 144,398 1,263 2,222,801



* Mint output data for the Low Countries:



(a) Flanders only, 1350-1419;

(b) Flanders, Brabant, Namur, Hainaut, and Holland-Zeeland, 1420-1499;

(c) Bruges and Antwerp only, 1500-1599.



No Flemish mint data are available before 1334; and for such 25-year totals, the Flemish data commence therefore in 1350. Brabantine mint data are available from the 1370s, but are not included here until 1420, from which time Brabant becomes fully part of the Flemish monetary orbit, so that values of Brabantine mint outputs can be accurately recorded in terms of Flemish pounds (£) gros. Similarly the mints of Holland-Zeeland, Namur, and Hainaut became part of the Flemish-Burgundian monetary system only from the 1420s (when their mint records first become available).



** For 1475-99, Ghent and Mechelen mint outputs are also included in the totals for Bruges and Antwerp. From 1500, we currently have processed continuous mint data only for Antwerp and Bruges -- which were certainly the two leading mints of the southern Low Countries.



Table 17



Twenty-Five Year Means of the Values of Aggregate Coinage Outputs and of the Composite Price Indices in England and the Low Countries, 1300-24 to 1575-99

Years ENGLAND LOW COUNTRIESa

TOTAL FLANDERS BRABANT



Mint Price s.d.* Mint Price s.d.* Price s.d. Outputs Indices Outputs Indices Indices in £ 1450-74= in £ gros 1450-74=

sterling 100 Flemish 100



1300-24 50,430 121.5 33.85

1325-49 11,642+ 102.0 15.66

1350-74 93,436 135.6 17.40 69,014 89.8 22.99

1375-99 17,689 108.0 12.37 33,745 108.3 18.00

1400-24 55,504+ 108.1 11.47 18,059 99.4 12.68 74.3 10.10

1425-49 29,523 106.2 17.05 66,107 122.3 23.49 107.1 15.10

1450-74 43,869+ 100.0 7.58 30,398 100.0 11.76 100.0 10.24

1475-99 25,294 103.2 18.27 70,026 143.5 46.05 139.8 34.16

Antwerp and Bruges*



1475-99 61,712 143.5 46.05 139.8 34.16

1500-24 62,763 114.0 18.97 69,123 140.0 26.46

1525-49 186,658+ 166.5 29.18 56,061 187.8 22.24

1550-74 143,226+ 285.8 40.76 163,120 316.7 65.53

1575-99 116,994 391.2 94.90 88,912 655.6 208.10



a Low Countries: Flanders only 1350-1420; Low Countries: Flanders, Brabant, Namur, Hainaut, Holland-Zeeland, 1420-1499;



b Antwerp and Bruges: with Mechelen and Ghent, 1475-99; Antwerp and Bruges alone, 1500-99.



* standard deviations from the mean. + Periods with extensive debasements and/or recoinages in England.



Table 18



The Value of the Mint Outputs of England:

Silver and Gold Coinages in

Current Pounds Sterling: Decennial Means, 1400-9 to 1590-9

Years Silver in % of Gold in % of Total Coin

£ sterling Total £ sterling Total in £ sterling



1400-9 181.35 2.8% 6,291.41 97.2% 6,472.76

1410-9 4,028.78 5.7% 66,865.30 94.3% 70,894.08

1420-9 19,167.70 20.0% 76,701.38 80.0% 95,869.08

1430-9 24,843.99 72.2% 9,557.86 27.8% 34,401.85

1440-9 1,161.53 23.6% 3,769.01 76.4% 4,930.54

1450-9 6,304.82 71.0% 2,574.57 29.0% 8,879.39

1460-9 23,105.63 31.2% 51,016.95 68.8% 74,122.58

1470-9 11,038.11 25.0% 33,160.84 75.0% 44,198.95

1480-9 5,366.46 28.6% 13,365.41 71.4% 18,731.87

1490-9 10,526.86 39.0% 16,448.04 61.0% 26,974.89

1500-9 24,684.13 28.9% 60,817.80 71.1% 85,501.93

1510-9 3,695.98 6.9% 49,770.56 93.1% 53,466.54

1520-9 33,467.35 43.2% 43,965.86 56.8% 77,433.21

1530-9 35,432.64 63.3% 20,527.83 36.7% 55,960.47

1540-9 217,915.60 62.1% 133,274.76 37.9% 351,190.36

1550-9 118,001.32 84.2% 22,110.36 15.8% 140,111.68

1560-9 146,408.96 85.9% 23,977.05 14.1% 170,386.01

1570-9 72,651.99 89.7% 8,304.89 10.3% 80,956.88

1580-9 101,997.72 80.0% 25,445.45 20.0% 127,443.17

1590-9 117,475.77 89.2% 14,177.67 10.8% 131,653.44

Table 19.

OUTPUTS OF SILVER FROM CENTRAL EUROPEAN MINES:

in kilograms of pure silver

Five Year Means: 1470-4 to 1545-9
Years Saxony: Thuringia: Tirol Bohemia Bohemia Slovakia Hungary: TOTALS
Schneeberg Eisleben Schwaz Kutna Hora Joachimstahl Thurzo-Fugger Nagybanya Estimated.
Annaberg Hettstedt Kaperska H. Company Körmocbanya
Marienberg
kg kg kg kg kg est. kg.
1470-4 3,743.3 4,112.5 4,500.0 12,355.8
1475-9 8,633.0 7,354.0 4,250.0 20,237.0
1480-4 5,764.7 9,745.8 4,000.0 1,800.0 21,310.5
1485-9 2,601.6 12,751.0 3,750.0 3,523.0 22,625.6
1490-4 3,233.6 12,422.8 3,500.0 3,523.0 22,679.4
1495-9 4,641.7 12,094.5 3,250.0 3,795.9 23,782.1
1500-4 8,099.6 11,766.3 3,000.0 4,068.7 26,934.6
1505-9 7,725.2 4,509.0 11,438.0 2,750.0 3,929.5 4,341.6 34,693.3
1510-4 7,589.5 5,441.8 11,109.8 2,500.0 3,936.9 4,614.4 35,192.4
1515-9 5,170.4 5,905.7 10,781.5 2,250.0 2,172.2 2,090.2 4,887.3 33,257.3
1520-4 3,860.3 6,010.0 10,453.3 2,000.0 9,627.8 2,486.5 5,160.1 39,598.0
1525-9 3,359.6 7,821.8 10,125.0 2,000.0 13,223.2 2,312.6 5,433.0 44,275.2
1530-4 4,922.4 6,673.9 10,125.0 2,000.0 16,275.4 2,269.1 5,433.0 47,698.8
1535-9 14,336.8 5,709.5 10,125.0 3,947.0 13,217.9 2,256.5 5,433.0 55,025.7
1540-4 9,330.2 4,381.9 3,997.0 11,537.2 2,154.2 5,433.0 36,833.5
1545-9 6,071.1 6,957.3 700.0 11,537.2 2,154.2 5,433.0 32,852.8




Table 20



Silver Outputs from Various Central European Mines:

Annual Outputs in Kilograms for Years of Extant Data

Place Year Annual Output in kg.

GERMANY

Lower Harz Mountains 1510 935

Rammelsberg 1526 2,105

Freiberg 1490 177

1511-20 933

1526-30 2,100

1572 7,860



AUSTRIA

Tirol: Falkenstein 1486 14,812

Tirol: other (than Schwaz) 1505 8,851

1523 15,710

1530 10,013

Rattenberg 1528 1,503

Carinthia 1528 283

1550 411

Salzburg 1520 2,250



HUNGARY

Körmocbanya 1434-35 660

1486-92 3,523

1528-49 5,433

Nagybanya 1481-82 1,800



BOHEMIA

Kutna Hora (Kuttenberg) 1300-1330 ±30,000

1330-1350 ±20,000

1350-1420 ±10,000

1420-1460 ?

1460-1510 4,500

1521-1530 2,000

1531-1540 600

1541-1550 700

Kasperska Hora

(Bergreichenstein) 1536-43 3,297

Krumau 1520-21 121

Pribam 1536-38 347

Elischau-Wilhartitz 1536-38 1,127







Table 21



Estimates of Aggregate Silver Production from Central

European Mines in the Sixteenth Century

Annual Estimates in Kilograms of Fine Silver



Years Germany Austria- TOTAL

Hungary



********************************





According to Soetbeer (1879):



1493 - 1520 11,000 kg. 24,000 kg. 35,000 kg.



1521 - 1544 15,000 kg. 32,000 kg. 47,000 kg.



1545 - 1560 19,400 kg. 30,000 kg. 49,400 kg.



1561 - 1580 15,000 kg. 23,500 kg. 38,500 kg.







According to Nef (1941)



1526-1535 35,100 kg. 49,100 kg. 84,200 kg. (minimum)



56,100 kg. 91,200 kg. (maximum)





Table 22



Exports of Gold and Silver 'Treasure' and Merchandise

to India By the British East India Company

in Pounds Sterling

Decennial Averages, 1660-9 to 1710-9

Decade Silver % Gold % Total Value

1660-69 51,446.7 69.5% 22,575.7 30.5% 74,022.4

1670-79 102,038.1 43.6% 132,053.3 56.4% 234,091.4

1680-89 262,870.4 68.5% 120,837.3 31.5% 383,707.7

1690-99 163,230.2 98.0% 3,331.2 2.0% 166,561.4

1700-09 325,887.6 96.7% 11,121.3 3.3% 337,008.9

1710-19 369,340.3 99.4% 2,077.8 0.6% 371,418.10

.................................................................

Table 23

Exports of 'Treasure' and Merchandise to India

By the British East India Company, in Pounds Sterling,

Decennial Means, 1660-69 to 1710-19



Decade Treasure % Merchandise % Total in £

1660-69 74,022.4 64.3% 41,085.2 35.7% 115,107.6

1670-79 234,091.4 72.2% 89,990.8 27.8% 324,082.2

1680-89 383,707.7 87.2% 56,170.2 12.8% 439,877.9

1690-99 166,561.4 69.8% 72,065.2 30.2% 238,626.6

1700-09 337,008.9 84.7% 60,876.5 15.3% 397,885.4

1710-19 371,418.1 79.2% 97,771.3 20.8% 469,189.4

Table 24

Exports of Gold and Silver to India by the British East India Company: Decennial Means in Kilograms of Pure Metal and Pounds Sterling Values, 1660-69 to 1710-19



Decade Total £ SILVER % by GOLD % by

Treasure kg. Value £ kg. Value in £



1660-69 74,022.4 5,729.6 69.5% 175.14 30.5%

1670-79 234,091.4 11,364.0 43.6% 1,015.30 56.4%

1680-89 383,707.7 29,276.0 68.5% 929.07 31.5%

1690-99 166,561.4 18,179.0 98.0% 24.69 2.0%

1700-09 337,008.9 36,294.3 96.7% 79.54 3.3%

1710-19 371,418.1 41,133.6 99.4% 14.97 0.6%

..................................................................

Table 25

Exports of Silver to India and East Asia

by the Dutch and British East India Companies,

in kilograms of pure metal

Decennial Means, 1660-9 to 1710-19



Decade By the Dutch By the British Total Silver

East India Co. East India Co. Shipments



1660-69 11,563.1 5,729.6 17,292.70

1670-79 11,854.6 11,364.0 23,218.60

1680-89 18,847.0 29,276.0 48,123.00

1690-99 27,720.9 18,179.0 45,899.90

1700-09 37,392.9 36,294.3 73,687.20

1710-19 37,108.1 41,133.6 78,241.70





Table 26.

NEW WORLD GOLD PRODUCTION: ESTIMATES
Decade Caribbean Mexico Peru New Ecuador Chile Brazil Total Total
Granada Decadal Annual Mean
1492-1500 1,086 1,086 108.60
1501-1510 12,098 12,098 1,209.80
1511-1520 10,711 10,711 1,071.10
1521-1530 3,409 2,358 5,767 576.70
1531-1540 2,249 3,769 8,541 2,264 257 17,080 1,708.00
1541-1550 1,315 1,256 4,827 2,089 868 3,102 13,457 1,345.70
1551-1560 53 124 3,533 5,593 2,549 4,653 16,505 1,650.50
1561-1570 124 1,183 7,604 3,226 1,590 13,727 1,372.70
1571-1580 78 1,104 7,977 6,143 4,873 20,175 2,017.50
1581-1590 82 1,002 6,728 6,442 1,551 15,805 1,580.50
1591-1600 1,483 161 12,541 3,486 776 18,447 1,844.70
1601-1610 3,535 80 13,934 2,076 155 19,780 1,978.00
1611-1620 4,010 1 11,153 927 71 16,162 1,616.20
1621-1630 4,428 8,951 1,985 23 15,387 1,538.70
1631-1640 3,924 3,548 635 19 8,126 812.60
1641-1650 2,427 7,885 131 10,443 1,044.30
1651-1660 2,687 2 7,540 202 10,431 1,043.10
1661-1670 2,943 70 4,105 233 7,351 735.10




Decade
Caribbean Mexico Peru New Ecuador Chile Brazil Total Total
Granada Decadal Annual Mean
1671-1680 2,372 80 4,406 194 7,052
1681-1690 2,186 267 6,437 194 9,084 908.40
1691-1700 2,740 550 4,950 339 60 8,639 863.90
1701-1710 2,373 620 5,140 291 15 47,597 56,036 5,603.60
1711-1720 2,665 404 7,499 339 188 46,563 57,658 5,765.80
1721-1730 2,715 332 8,570 144 254 103,315 115,330 11,533.00
1731-1740 5,177 286 10,210 96 426 137,930 154,125 15,412.50
1741-1750 7,937 257 14,793 48 709 145,430 169,174 16,917.40
1751-1760 7,972 191 17,759 2,012 1,108 111,680 140,722 14,072.20
1761-1770 10,586 1,299 20,501 1,676 6,673 107,930 148,665 14,866.50
1771-1780 13,078 5,844 22,681 1,789 9,134 107,930 160,456 16,045.60
1781-1790 9,169 11,758 27,869 4,049 9,243 96,680 158,768 15,876.80
1791-1800 15,711 15,725 33,130 4,846 9,137 77,473 156,022 15,602.20
1801-1810 23,733 11,747 34,535 914 11,560 82,489 8,248.90


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1. See also Jean-Yves Le Branchu, ed., Écrits notables dur la monnaie, XVIe siècle: De Copernic à Davanzati reproudits, traduits, d'après les éditions originales et les manuscrits, avec une introduction, des notices et des notes, Collection des principaux économistes, nouvelle édition, 2 vols. (Paris: Librairie Félix Alcan, 1934); Les paradoxes du Seigneur de Malestroict, conseiller du Roy, et Maistre ordinaire de ses comptes, sur le faict des monnoyes, presentez à sa Majesté, au mois de mars MDLXVI (Paris, 1566); La response de maistre Jean Bodin advocat en la cour au paradoxe des monsieur de Malestroit touchant l'enchérissement de toutes choses et le moyen d'y remedier (Paris: Chez Martin le Jeuen, 1568). Original edition.