Conferences at Department of Economics, University of Toronto, Canadian Economic Theory Conference 2011

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The Political Economy of Regulatory Risk

Roland Strausz*

Date: 2011-05-15 9:00 am – 9:30 am
Last modified: 2011-04-09

Abstract


The paper investigates political uncertainty as a source of
regulatory risk. It shows that political parties have
incentives to reduce regulatory risk actively: Mutually
beneficial pre--electoral agreements that reduce regulatory
risk always exist and fully eliminate it when political
divergence is small or electoral uncertainty is appropriately
skewed. These results follow from a fluctuation effect of
regulatory risk that hurts both parties and an
output--expansion effect that benefits at most one party. Due
to commitment problems, politically independent regulatory
agencies are needed to implement pre--electoral agreements. The
delegation may require only partial rather than full political
independence.